Station Overview Station Location
Station Number NJ-MS-87 Latitude 40.90789
Station Name Mount Arlington 0.8 S Longitude -74.64077
County Morris Elevation (ft) 1062



Month 30 Yr Avg by PRISM Total Prcp Sum Days Covered By All Observations Daily Prcp Sum Daily Observation Count Multiday Prcp Sum Days Covered by Multiday Observations Multiday Observation Count Days With Prcp Days With Trace Total Snowfall Days With Snowfall Days With Snow On Ground
Oct 17 4.39 7.98 31 7.98 31 0.00 0 0 10 1 0.0 0 0
Nov 17 3.90 1.16 30 1.16 30 0.00 0 0 12 3 0.0 0 0
Dec 17 4.05 2.00 31 2.00 31 0.00 0 0 10 4 7.5 5 8
Jan 18 3.38 4.52 31 4.52 31 0.00 0 0 11 3 7.6 4 14
Feb 18 2.94 6.27 28 6.27 28 0.00 0 0 16 2 11.1 4 9
March 18 4.02 4.72 31 4.72 31 0.00 0 0 12 3 35.3 8 14
April 18 4.33 4.85 30 4.85 30 0.00 0 0 14 1 6.3 4 2
May 18 4.62 4.30 31 4.30 31 0.00 0 0 17 1 0.0 0 0
June 18 4.67 3.04 30 3.04 30 0.00 0 0 12 3 0.0 0 0
July 18 4.68 7.54 31 7.54 31 0.00 0 0 10 0 0.0 0 0
Aug 18 4.26 7.89 31 7.89 31 0.00 0 0 15 0 0.0 0 0
Sept 18 4.55 7.31 30 7.31 30 0.00 0 0 18 1 0.0 0 0
Water Year Totals: 49.79" 61.58" 365 days 61.58" 365 0.00" 0 days 0 157 days 22 days 67.8" 25 days 47 days



Days in Water Year Cell Color Key
        Daily Observation with Prcp         Missing Day
        Multiday Observation         Daily/Multiday Observation Conflict

Day of Year Daily Prcp Multiday Prcp
10/1/2017 0.00
10/2/2017 0.00
10/3/2017 0.00
10/4/2017 0.00
10/5/2017 0.00
10/6/2017 0.06
10/7/2017 0.00
10/8/2017 0.11
10/9/2017 0.18
10/10/2017 0.95
10/11/2017 0.00
10/12/2017 0.41
10/13/2017 T
10/14/2017 0.08
10/15/2017 0.00
10/16/2017 0.05
10/17/2017 0.00
10/18/2017 0.00
10/19/2017 0.00
10/20/2017 0.00
10/21/2017 0.00
10/22/2017 0.00
10/23/2017 0.00
10/24/2017 0.12
10/25/2017 1.14
10/26/2017 0.00
10/27/2017 0.00
10/28/2017 0.00
10/29/2017 0.00
10/30/2017 4.88
10/31/2017 0.00
11/1/2017 0.00
11/2/2017 T
11/3/2017 0.00
11/4/2017 T
11/5/2017 0.02
11/6/2017 0.02
11/7/2017 0.01
11/8/2017 0.38
11/9/2017 0.00
11/10/2017 0.06
11/11/2017 0.00
11/12/2017 0.00
11/13/2017 0.04
11/14/2017 0.08
11/15/2017 0.00
11/16/2017 0.14
11/17/2017 T
11/18/2017 0.00
11/19/2017 0.35
11/20/2017 0.01
11/21/2017 0.00
11/22/2017 0.02
11/23/2017 0.03
11/24/2017 0.00
11/25/2017 0.00
11/26/2017 0.00
11/27/2017 0.00
11/28/2017 0.00
11/29/2017 0.00
11/30/2017 0.00
12/1/2017 0.02
12/2/2017 0.00
12/3/2017 0.00
12/4/2017 0.00
12/5/2017 0.00
12/6/2017 0.32
12/7/2017 0.00
12/8/2017 0.00
12/9/2017 0.00
12/10/2017 0.32
12/11/2017 0.00
12/12/2017 T
12/13/2017 0.02
12/14/2017 0.15
12/15/2017 0.00
12/16/2017 0.03
12/17/2017 0.00
12/18/2017 T
12/19/2017 T
12/20/2017 0.00
12/21/2017 0.00
12/22/2017 0.00
12/23/2017 0.32
12/24/2017 0.53
12/25/2017 0.27
12/26/2017 0.00
12/27/2017 0.00
12/28/2017 0.00
12/29/2017 0.00
12/30/2017 T
12/31/2017 0.02
Day of YearDaily PrcpMultiday Prcp
1/1/2018 0.00
1/2/2018 0.00
1/3/2018 0.00
1/4/2018 0.01
1/5/2018 0.33
1/6/2018 0.00
1/7/2018 0.00
1/8/2018 0.00
1/9/2018 0.03
1/10/2018 0.00
1/11/2018 0.00
1/12/2018 0.12
1/13/2018 2.64
1/14/2018 0.00
1/15/2018 0.00
1/16/2018 T
1/17/2018 0.34
1/18/2018 0.00
1/19/2018 0.00
1/20/2018 0.00
1/21/2018 0.00
1/22/2018 0.02
1/23/2018 0.44
1/24/2018 0.45
1/25/2018 0.00
1/26/2018 0.00
1/27/2018 0.00
1/28/2018 0.12
1/29/2018 0.02
1/30/2018 T
1/31/2018 T
2/1/2018 0.00
2/2/2018 0.22
2/3/2018 0.00
2/4/2018 0.00
2/5/2018 0.74
2/6/2018 0.00
2/7/2018 T
2/8/2018 0.93
2/9/2018 0.00
2/10/2018 0.00
2/11/2018 0.71
2/12/2018 0.46
2/13/2018 0.00
2/14/2018 T
2/15/2018 0.03
2/16/2018 0.23
2/17/2018 0.12
2/18/2018 0.68
2/19/2018 0.00
2/20/2018 0.07
2/21/2018 0.01
2/22/2018 0.27
2/23/2018 0.24
2/24/2018 0.26
2/25/2018 0.89
2/26/2018 0.41
2/27/2018 0.00
2/28/2018 0.00
3/1/2018 0.00
3/2/2018 0.98
3/3/2018 0.73
3/4/2018 0.00
3/5/2018 0.00
3/6/2018 0.00
3/7/2018 0.19
3/8/2018 1.35
3/9/2018 T
3/10/2018 T
3/11/2018 0.00
3/12/2018 0.00
3/13/2018 0.30
3/14/2018 0.04
3/15/2018 0.02
3/16/2018 T
3/17/2018 0.00
3/18/2018 0.00
3/19/2018 0.00
3/20/2018 0.00
3/21/2018 0.01
3/22/2018 0.79
3/23/2018 0.00
3/24/2018 0.00
3/25/2018 0.00
3/26/2018 0.00
3/27/2018 0.00
3/28/2018 0.15
3/29/2018 0.00
3/30/2018 0.05
3/31/2018 0.11
Day of YearDaily PrcpMultiday Prcp
4/1/2018 0.00
4/2/2018 0.41
4/3/2018 0.17
4/4/2018 0.42
4/5/2018 0.01
4/6/2018 0.00
4/7/2018 0.02
4/8/2018 0.00
4/9/2018 0.00
4/10/2018 0.02
4/11/2018 0.00
4/12/2018 0.00
4/13/2018 0.00
4/14/2018 0.00
4/15/2018 0.00
4/16/2018 0.74
4/17/2018 1.50
4/18/2018 T
4/19/2018 0.17
4/20/2018 0.11
4/21/2018 0.00
4/22/2018 0.00
4/23/2018 0.00
4/24/2018 0.00
4/25/2018 0.52
4/26/2018 0.25
4/27/2018 0.00
4/28/2018 0.21
4/29/2018 0.30
4/30/2018 0.00
5/1/2018 0.02
5/2/2018 0.00
5/3/2018 0.00
5/4/2018 0.15
5/5/2018 0.00
5/6/2018 0.03
5/7/2018 0.28
5/8/2018 0.00
5/9/2018 0.00
5/10/2018 0.00
5/11/2018 0.21
5/12/2018 0.12
5/13/2018 0.28
5/14/2018 0.37
5/15/2018 0.00
5/16/2018 0.22
5/17/2018 0.79
5/18/2018 0.09
5/19/2018 0.11
5/20/2018 0.72
5/21/2018 0.00
5/22/2018 0.00
5/23/2018 0.67
5/24/2018 0.00
5/25/2018 0.00
5/26/2018 0.00
5/27/2018 0.21
5/28/2018 0.02
5/29/2018 0.01
5/30/2018 0.00
5/31/2018 T
6/1/2018 0.12
6/2/2018 0.31
6/3/2018 0.20
6/4/2018 0.61
6/5/2018 0.00
6/6/2018 T
6/7/2018 0.00
6/8/2018 0.00
6/9/2018 0.00
6/10/2018 T
6/11/2018 0.31
6/12/2018 0.00
6/13/2018 0.00
6/14/2018 0.13
6/15/2018 0.00
6/16/2018 0.00
6/17/2018 0.00
6/18/2018 0.00
6/19/2018 0.22
6/20/2018 0.00
6/21/2018 0.15
6/22/2018 0.00
6/23/2018 T
6/24/2018 0.02
6/25/2018 0.11
6/26/2018 0.00
6/27/2018 0.00
6/28/2018 0.85
6/29/2018 0.01
6/30/2018 0.00
Day of YearDaily PrcpMultiday Prcp
7/1/2018 0.00
7/2/2018 0.00
7/3/2018 0.00
7/4/2018 0.00
7/5/2018 0.00
7/6/2018 0.00
7/7/2018 0.14
7/8/2018 0.00
7/9/2018 0.00
7/10/2018 0.00
7/11/2018 0.00
7/12/2018 0.00
7/13/2018 0.00
7/14/2018 0.00
7/15/2018 0.42
7/16/2018 0.06
7/17/2018 0.00
7/18/2018 0.99
7/19/2018 0.00
7/20/2018 0.00
7/21/2018 0.00
7/22/2018 1.88
7/23/2018 1.79
7/24/2018 0.38
7/25/2018 0.39
7/26/2018 0.97
7/27/2018 0.00
7/28/2018 0.52
7/29/2018 0.00
7/30/2018 0.00
7/31/2018 0.00
8/1/2018 0.12
8/2/2018 0.22
8/3/2018 0.38
8/4/2018 1.89
8/5/2018 0.28
8/6/2018 0.00
8/7/2018 0.00
8/8/2018 0.81
8/9/2018 0.01
8/10/2018 0.00
8/11/2018 0.32
8/12/2018 0.76
8/13/2018 0.00
8/14/2018 0.62
8/15/2018 0.26
8/16/2018 0.00
8/17/2018 0.00
8/18/2018 0.32
8/19/2018 0.77
8/20/2018 0.00
8/21/2018 0.00
8/22/2018 1.11
8/23/2018 0.02
8/24/2018 0.00
8/25/2018 0.00
8/26/2018 0.00
8/27/2018 0.00
8/28/2018 0.00
8/29/2018 0.00
8/30/2018 0.00
8/31/2018 0.00
9/1/2018 0.22
9/2/2018 0.00
9/3/2018 0.00
9/4/2018 0.00
9/5/2018 0.00
9/6/2018 0.00
9/7/2018 0.23
9/8/2018 0.02
9/9/2018 0.26
9/10/2018 0.83
9/11/2018 0.80
9/12/2018 0.12
9/13/2018 0.07
9/14/2018 0.03
9/15/2018 0.06
9/16/2018 0.00
9/17/2018 0.00
9/18/2018 0.69
9/19/2018 0.21
9/20/2018 0.01
9/21/2018 0.00
9/22/2018 0.00
9/23/2018 T
9/24/2018 0.00
9/25/2018 0.53
9/26/2018 1.39
9/27/2018 0.54
9/28/2018 1.28
9/29/2018 0.02
9/30/2018 0.00



Observation Date Observation Time Precipitation Snowfall Snowfall SWE Snow Depth Snow SWE Notes
10/1/2017 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Chilly morning with low of 43. Will warm to above normal starting Tuesday. Decent chances widespread showers next weekend with CF passage. Workweek is dry.
10/2/2017 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Another chilly morning with a low of 42. Several m/u 30's across NW New Jersey, even the Pine Barrens of SNJ joined in with a low of 38. Dry and warmer week ahead with temps above normal. Hopefully some showers over the weekend. Does not look like anything significant but even 1/4" amounts will be welcome to dampen the dust.
10/3/2017 7:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Another chilly morning with a low of 44. Mild to warm pattern will start this afternoon and temps look to average above normal next 7-10 days. As for rainfall...dry through at least Thursday. Slight chance light showers Friday afternoon/evening especially NNJ. Better chances of showers and MAYBE some steadier rain starting later Sunday into early next week. Looks like deep southerly flow on backside of Bermuda high will be affecting the eastern 1/4 of the U.S. late weekend/early next week. Frontal system pushing into the eastern states and MAYBE a tropical connection from the Gulf of Mexico could make for some widespread rain early next week. Details far from clear and much to early to say where best axis of rainfall will be. Regardless, at least some rainfall looks likely by late weekend/early next week...just can't say yet how much may fall. NJ will welcome anything at this point as it is very dry.
10/4/2017 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Above normal temperature regime to continue well into next week. Evidence and confidence growing for some significant and much needed rain from late Sunday night into Mon/Tues next week. Details still far from clear on amounts and axis of heaviest. Western side of Bermuda high will make for deep southerly flow up the east coast, upper trof and associated surface cold front pushing into the east coast states and what will likely become TS or Hurricane Nate in the Caribbean/Gulf look to combine to bring generous rains for the eastern 1/4 of the U.S. Dry as a bone so any rain will be welcomed.
10/5/2017 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Warmer than normal weather pattern to continue into mid next week. Cooler/drier air by late next week/next weekend associated with Canadian high pressure. Still looking a decent rain event late this weekend / early next week on the order of 0.50" to 1.50" with the higher amounts over northern 1/3 of NJ as it looks now. Rain will come from deep southerly flow on backside of Bermuda high, frontal system pushing into the eastern states along with associated upper trof and the remnant moisture associated with TS Nate which looks poised to make landfall on the LA/MS coast as TS or Cat 1 hurricane late weekend. Ground is just so dry any rain will help.
10/6/2017 8:00 AM 0.06 M M M M Was a warm and rather humid day yesterday. Had light showers move through between roughly 0200Z - 0300Z. Only .06" but it was good to hear the rain and see the ground get dampened. Still looking at widespread rainfall on the order of 0.50" - 1.50" Monday/Tuesday of next week. Deep southerly flow, cold front/upper trof and remnants of Nate look ro be coming together to generate the rainfall. Much cooler late next week/next weekend.
10/7/2017 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M All guidance has trended wetter last 24-36 hours with rain event centered on Monday/Tuesday. Combination of deep southerly flow surface and aloft on backside of Bermuda high will bring high moisture airmass north over the east coast states. Strengthening upper trof and sfc cold front will pull the remains of hurricane Nate north up along the Appalachians then east-northeast across the northern mid-atlantic states. All these features will work in tandem to produce a general 1 - 2" rainfall event for NJ. Higher end totals still look to be favored over northern 1/3 of NJ where some amounts could locally exceed 2" for the event. All in all looks like a VERY WELCOME rain event is on the way.
10/8/2017 8:45 AM 0.11 M M M M Additional rains later Monday/Monday night look to "maximize" over northern 1/3 of NJ. Amounts look to range from .25" - .50" south to around 1" central and 1 to 1.5" northern 1/3. Above normal weather pattern for October to persist. Cooling to near normal mid/late coming week as front and Nate remnants pull away early Tuesday. Right back to above normal for next weekend with highs across the state well into the 70's central/south and low to mid 70's north. No sign of persistent cool/chilly in sight over next 10 days.
10/9/2017 8:45 AM 0.18 M M M M One last batch of steadier rain to push through NJ over next few hours. Remnants of Nate moving very quickly and further to the NW than originally expected. Except for far NW counties rain totals for the entire multi day event will be less than advertised. Something is better than nothing but we sure could of used more. After a 1-2 day period mid week of near normal it looks like we go back to above normal temp pattern with minimal rainfall for later this week and next week.
10/10/2017 7:00 AM 0.95 M M M M Three day event total 1.24". Temperatures for the first 10 days of October running 7 to 8 degrees F above normal! Don't see any lasting cool to start eating away at those departures and by the weekend we'll add to them as temperatures once again take a run at 75-80. Additional rainfall over the next 7 - 10 days looks light with totals of 0.25" to 0.50". Hopefully we can turn this warmer and drier than normal pattern around as we head into winter. With moderate to strong La Nina coming on....no promises.
10/11/2017 6:45 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Warm October weather pattern rolls on. Temps above normal again for today. Two days of below normal tomorrow and Thursday before rebounding to above normal Friday into the weekend. Looks like another return to seasonable mid next week then back to above normal later next week. Rainfall next 7-10 days most spots 0.25 - 0.50" with the higher amts. this time around over southern 1/3 of the state.
10/12/2017 8:00 AM 0.41 M M M M Ongoing light mist/drizzle at ob time. Cooler than normal weather for a change today and tomorrow then back to above normal for the weekend. Rainfall next 7 days generally less than 0.25". Temps looks to AVERAGE above normal next 7 - 10 days with some ups and downs. EURO EPS starting to show signs of turn to cooler than normal pattern for eastern U.S. as we work through the last week of October. Low confidence attm. but something to at least watch for.
10/13/2017 8:30 AM T M M M M Just a trace after ob time yesterday. Rainfall amounts next 7 days or so < 0.25". Nice cool morning this morning. Foliage change is somewhat disappointing so far...lots of brown and yellow.
10/14/2017 11:00 AM 0.08 M M M M Late reporting today. Light rain/drizzle from overnight into early this morning.
10/15/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Rainfall next 7-10 days continues to look very light with amounts <0.25". Warm overall October pattern to continue. Still model suggestion of chilly pattern arriving by last week of the month. Temperature departures so far this month running between 8 and 8.5 degrees above normal! Driving around Sussex County yesterday and foliage is still either green or just yellow/brown. Usual fall color at this time of year is lacking.
10/16/2017 7:30 AM 0.05 M M M M Cool October weather for today and tomorrow, very nice! First frost advisory NW counties for tonight posted by NWS. Back to above normal Wednesday and right into and through the coming weekend....back into at least the low 70's again. Increasing signal for strong cold front around 10/24 - 10/25 with next decent shower chances followed by perhaps a coldish airmass to end the month. Rainfall until then <0.10".
10/17/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M First frost of the season this morning with low temp of 32.4
10/18/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M After a beautiful October day yesterday another one is on tap for today. Next rain chances Tues/Wed next week ahead of strong cold front. Until then dry with temperatures averaging above normal.
10/19/2017 10:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Another beautiful sunny and WARM day. The obscene October warmth continues. Temps across NJ running better than 7 degrees above normal so far this October. Above normal temps will continue through next Wednesday. A strong cold front with a good slug of rain will usher in colder air starting next Wednesday evening and lasting through next weekend. Moderation back to normal and somewhat above normal will follow that to close October and open November.
10/20/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Another Sunny WARM October day on tap. Wash. Rinse. Repeat.
10/21/2017 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Yet another sunny, warm and dry day upcoming. Rain on the order of 0.50" to 1.00" later Tuesday into early Wednesday associated with CF passage. Cooler/seasonable airmass for late next week. Now looks like the first cold airmass of the season will arrive as we head into and through the first week of November. Perhaps first snow flurries of the season as close by as Catskills....we'll see but it looks like a pattern change to colder as we close October and move through the first week of November. Another shot of rain should usher in that chilly period around 10/30 or 10/31. A ways off so we'll see how this all develops.
10/22/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Guess what...another sunny, warm and dry October day.
10/23/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Finally a change in the weather. Cloudy today and nice rain event tomorrow into early Wednesday. Looks like a 1-2" rain event across the state with some locally higher totals. Slow moving front with a developing wave of low pressure will give us the rain we badly need. Will turn cooler behind the front for mid/late week and into the weekend but really will just return to about normal. Colder weather looks to arrive early next week and into first week of November. In the meantime a much needed rain is on the way.
10/24/2017 7:45 AM 0.12 M M M M Still warm and humid with periods of rain, some heavy for today. Front will have cleared the area by Wednesday morning bringing cooler/drier air for the rest of the week. Temps near seasonable late week / weekend. Another big ticket rain event later Sunday/Monday as deep upper trof digs into the eastern U.S. with associated CF along with developing wave along east coast. Also possible tropical system slowly organizing over the western Caribbean feeds into the overall system. Complex pattern late weekend/early next week but at a minimum another good slug of rain followed by a colder weather pattern to open November. October temp departures currently 7-8 degrees above normal. The next 7 days look only near normal so October will go down in the books as a very warm month.
10/25/2017 8:00 AM 1.14 M M M M Event total was 1.26" Warm October weather pattern is over. Pattern now setting up will feature western U.S. ridge and central/eastern U.S. trofing. Coldest of the coming pattern will be Mississippi and Ohio Valley but even to the east coast the pattern will be turning colder as we close October and move through first week of November. Potential big ticket weather event late weekend/early next week. Details still not certain but possibility remains that tropical system organizing over NW Caribbean may get drawn into developing eastern U.S. trof. If, when, where and how this happens will determine sensible weather but at a minimum NJ could see a soaking rain event later Sunday into Monday. Colder air will follow. Cooler/colder pattern looks to at least have legs enough for first 1/2 of November.
10/26/2017 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Chilly morning across NJ. Final details still to be worked out but at a minimum a soaking rain and wind event getting underway Sunday afternoon and pulling away Monday morning. Latest ECMWF from 00Z offering up chances for some excessive rain totals with wind gusts to gale force Sunday night into Monday morning. All this will depend on exact interaction between mid latitude features with a tropical disturbance now down over the NW Caribbean. Significant development of that feature is not expected but the energy will get involved at least to some extent with trof diving into the east and could make for notable weather event for the northern mid-atlantic states into New England. In the meantime finally some nice fall color, about 2-3 weeks behind schedule but NNJ is now at peak color.
10/27/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Details still not locked it but heavy to possibly excessive rain event for parts of NJ Sunday into early Monday. Winds could gust to gale force along the coast and then across NJ from the NW as the low goes by early Monday. Track of low up along the coast still not certain and that will determine exact placement of max totals. ECMWF guidance has been most consistent and that would place the heaviest totals across the northern 1/3 of NJ. Totals across the state could have a wide range from an inch or so along the coast and far south to 3-4" across far NW. This weather system will be tapping moisture from the deep tropics as area of disturbed weather from the NW Caribbean will get drawn north into dynamic upper system dropping in from the Great Lakes. Only the very rapid speed of sfc low will keep this from getting out of hand. Most of NJ continues very dry so the rain will be welcome.
10/28/2017 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Details coming together for heavy rain event/strong wind event Sunday into early Monday. Deepening full latitude mid/upper level trof will go negative tilt as it lifts through the mid-atlantic and northeast states later Sunday and Monday. Sfc wave will develop off the VA/NC coast and lift rapidly NNE into NNJ/NYS pre-dawn Monday. This low will rapidly deepen and entrain energy from tropical system lifting rapidly north out of northern Caribbean. Sfc pressures look to fall into the mid 970 mb range as low is passing over NNJ/lower NYS early Monday morning. Rainfall totals statewide look to be on the order of 1-2" with 2-4" amounts most likely over the NW counties. Flash Flood watch has been posted roughly along and north of Route 80 in NJ. The heaviest rains will fall over a rather short amount of time leading to possibility of flash flooding in spots over NNJ. Still some wiggle room for area of max rainfall but it generally seems to be setting up over NNJ. Best chances for strong winds will be as the sfc low passes and winds shift to NW early Monday. Winds could gust to 45-50 mph, perhaps even a bit higher before settling down early Monday afternoon. A High Wind Warning or Wind Advisory will likely be issued for Monday morning in future NWS forecasts. Temps look to AVERAGE normal to a few degrees below over the coming 7 day period with limited rainfall after main event Sunday/Monday.
10/29/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Rain and wind event getting underway this morning. Flash Flood Watch has been expanded to cover all of NJ. Max totals still look to be favored over northern 1/3 of NJ where some totals of 4 to isolated 5 inches are possible. Most of this rain will fall in an 18 hour period. Winds will be of most concern as storm center lifts into lower NYS pre dawn Monday. Winds will shift to the NW and could gust to 40-50 mph. With saturated ground and trees still in heavy leaf power outages are possible due to downed trees. This will not be widespread but more localized. Weather will quiet down for the coming week once this storm pulls away early Monday.
10/30/2017 7:30 AM 4.88 M M M M Back edge of rain has moved through. Winds are howling from the NW. Temp has dropped to 39. Event total is 4.88"
10/31/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M October rainfall: 7.98" Precipitation Y.T.D. = 45.57"
11/1/2017 6:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Coldest morning of the season across NJ this morning. Current ob temp here is 33.7. Some lows in the m/u 20's across Sussex & Warren County cold spots. October was warm month across NJ with departures on the order of +7 degrees. Next chilly shot arrives Tues/Wed next week and then chances for even colder shot around next weekend. Rainfall next 5-7 days around 0.50" with 10 day totals around or just over an inch.
11/2/2017 8:00 AM T M M M M Trace from late afternoon sprinkle yesterday. Up and down temperature pattern next several days. Temps will spike above normal today and tomorrow. Fall back to below normal Saturday only to rebound Sunday into early next week. Another cold air mass arrives mid next week with decent slug of rain and showers. Most guidance showing coldest airmass of the season building over central and western Canada early next week and then making a push into the northern plains and then reaching the east coast by around next weekend. Rainfall totals over NJ looks to be in the 0.50" range next 5 days with an additional 0.50" to 0.75" day 6-10.
11/3/2017 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Another warm day today. Cold front crosses NJ early evening and colder air follows for the overnight and into Saturday. Milder air returns Sunday and especially Monday. Showery pattern later Monday into Wednesday with another cold front that again drops the temperatures mid and late week. Another 2 day temp spike follows before the next colder airmass arrives next weekend. Rainfall next 5-7 days 0.50" to around 1"
11/4/2017 7:00 AM T M M M M Trace from mid afternoon sprinkle yesterday. Mostly sunny and much cooler today with temps near or a tad below seasonable normal. Temps moderate tomorrow and especially Monday. Cold front with showers Monday night and Tuesday usher in chilly weather again by Wednesday. Coldest airmass of the season to arrive by late next week/weekend. Overnight lows could bottom out near 20 over NNJ by next Friday/Saturday morning with highs upper 30's to near 40 north and mid to upper 40's south. Rainfall next 10 days around 1/2 to 3/4".
11/5/2017 8:00 AM 0.02 M M M M Had .02" in overnight sprinkle.
11/6/2017 8:00 AM 0.02 M M M M Another .02" in evening and overnight sprinkles. Today looks like the last warm day. One wave of chilly air moves in this evening and overnight and a cold shot arrives on Friday. Depending on the timing temps on Friday afternoon could hold steady or even fall during the afternoon. Regardless, Friday and Saturday look like cold days with morning lows dropping to near 20 over the north and low 30's south. High temps will hold in the upper 30's north and low/mid 40's south. Temps will moderate starting next Sunday but only back to chilly normals for much of next week. Rainfall next 7-10 days 0.50" to 1.00".
11/7/2017 8:00 AM 0.01 M M M M Had 0.01" yesterday with scattered mid morning and mid afternoon sprinkles. Chilly weather has returned and a period of normal to below normal temperatures is expected for the next 10 days or so. The coldest air mass of the season is still slated for Friday into Saturday. Of some interest for the overnight hours tonight into tomorrow morning is the possibility of the first snowflakes of the season for the NW counties. Not entirely out of the question that there could be a coating or so over the highest elevations of Sussex, Morris and Passaic counties. We'll see how that works out come this time tomorrow morning. In the meantime get ready for cold shot Friday and Saturday. Some readings in the upper teens are likely over far NW NJ.
11/8/2017 8:00 AM 0.38 T M M M Had first frozen precip of the season yesterday late afternoon/evening. Trace of IP. Did also see some wet snowflakes mixed in with a very cold rain. Temps were between 34.5 and 36 for most of the precip event. Temps next 7-10 days look to average below normal with coldest of that period coming this Friday/Saturday. Rainfall: next 7 - 10 days around 0.50" to 0.75". Trace of sleet coated deck and rooftops before melting and getting washed away by rainfall.
11/9/2017 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Cold shot coming for tomorrow and Saturday would be respectable for mid January so for mid November it is pretty impressive. Windchill readings tomorrow even at mid day will be in the low 20's. Temperatures Saturday morning will be in the teens and 20's across NJ. Temps tomorrow afternoon will hold steady or even drop a few degrees as the cold air rushes in on gusty NW winds. Temperatures the next 7-10 days look to average below normal as flow from the NW dominates. Pattern also looks on the dry side with 0.50 - 0.75" precipitation next 10 days. Next impressive cold air mass looks slated for late next weekend.
11/10/2017 8:00 AM 0.06 M M M M Overnight showers with cold front dropped .06". Temp at ob time 29. Temps will move little today as bright (but low angle) sunshine tries to hold temps steady under strong cold air advection. Temps by tomorrow morning will be in the teens and low 20's across NJ. Below average temp pattern looks to persist next 2 weeks at least. Precipitation will be limited next 7-10 days under chilly and dry NW flow. Little or no precipitation expected next 7 days with next chance at rainfall late next weekend ahead of another cold shot.
11/11/2017 6:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Temp at ob time 16. Weather next 7-10 days looks to feature temps averaging below normal with light precipitation, on the order of 0.50". Cold this morning is some of the coldest this early in the season across NJ. While there will be some colder air intrusions over the next 10 days they will not be near as cold as this current air mass.
11/12/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Another cold morning with min temp of 19. Coming week will feature chilly temps and little rain. Next chance decent amounts (around 0.50" - 0.75") will come next weekend from later Saturday into Sunday ahead of the next colder air mass.
11/13/2017 8:45 AM 0.04 M M M M Light rain ongoing at obs time. Rain began just before 7am. Cold rain at that with temp currently 34.
11/14/2017 8:15 AM 0.08 M M M M Received 0.08" after obs time yesterday. Event total 0.12". Next cold shot arrives Saturday night into early next week. Some rain will accompany frontal passage, on the order of 0.25" - 0.50". Looks like chilly Thanksgiving week with perhaps another strong cold shot Thanksgiving weekend. Remains to be seen if any kind of significant storminess is associated with that cold surge. November has turned 1.5 to 2 degrees below normal for the month to date. Chilly pattern looks to persist so November looks like it will average colder than normal when all is said and done.
11/15/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Heavy frost this morning. Below normal temperatures on average look to dominate for second half of November. Chilly shot arriving this coming Sunday into early next week. Another colder shot around or just after Thanksgiving. Precipitation next 7-10 days looks modest with 0.50" - 0.75" expected. Still a weak signal for some kind of coastal low late next week. Confidence low but worth keeping an eye on with developing pattern aloft. Seems to want to be decent blocking Hudson Bay toward Greenland. Again, signal is weak but worth keeping an eye on.
11/16/2017 8:00 AM 0.14 M M M M Ob was taken at 8a.m. Running behind schedule today and late posting. Chilly to colder than normal weather pattern to continue through Thanksgiving. Rainfall next 7-10 days still looks modest, on the order of 0.50" - 0.75".
11/17/2017 8:30 AM T M M M M Trace leftover from yesterday morning. Windy and cold out this morning. Chilly/cold pattern next 7-10 days. Next colder air mass arrives this Sunday into early next week. Some rain will accompany the front later Saturday into Sunday morning around 0.50" or so. While pattern will be cooler than normal no surges of very cold air expected through Thanksgiving week. Next storm threat of note could be sometime next weekend. In the meantime looks just chilly and rather quiet in the world of weather for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.
11/18/2017 4:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Rain to arrive towards evening. Around 0.50" expected. Chilly but not cold weather pattern for Thanksgiving week. Temperatures look to average below normal for next 7-10 days.
11/19/2017 8:30 AM 0.35 M M M M Rainfall on average across NJ last 24 hours was about 0.50"...lesser amounts north and some slightly higher amounts south. Front is through and winds are picking up. Will be quite gusty today and a Wind Advisory is posted until later this afternoon. Crickets and tumbleweed describe the weather for the upcoming holiday week across most of the country. Only the Pacific Northwest will see heavy rain and mountain snows. Modestly wet weather over parts of FL. Temps across NJ will continue to average below normal this week, not cold but definitely chilly. Next weather event of note looks to be a strong cold front next weekend. Bitter cold is building across central and northern Canada and some of that will break off and come into the U.S. late this coming week and into early the following week. Coldest of the air for NJ looks to be next Sunday and Monday when highs will struggle to reach the low 30's northwest with over night lows in the teens and 20's. Temps will moderate after that but still remain chilly. Precipitation next 7-10 days <0.25" with no big storms expected. Still some weak model signal for late next weekend so will have to keep an eye but signal is weak at this time.
11/20/2017 8:00 AM 0.01 M M M M Had evening shower of rain/sleet/snow. Fast moving with very quick burst of mixed precip. Precipitation next 7-10 days near nil. Less than 0.25" expected. Below normal temp pattern to persist for rest of November. COLD shot late this coming weekend into early next week. Snow showers or flurries NW NJ possible. Highs may struggle to reach freezing next Monday across the NW to near 40 SNJ. Temps will moderate for a few days after that but pattern may repeat during first week of December. No significant storms for next 7 - 10 days.
11/21/2017 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Chilly to cold weather pattern to persist. Next significant cold shot still on target for late weekend into early next week. Rainfall will be rather limited next 7-10 days on the order of <0.25". Exception will be later tonight into tomorrow over east central NJ where some 0.25" to perhaps some 0.50" amounts could fall. Overall no big storms in sight and chilly to cold weather pattern will persist through end of the month. Quite the opposite of the way above normal temperature pattern of October.
11/22/2017 7:30 AM 0.02 M M M M Light rain ongoing at ob time. Some significant changes last 24 hours in terms of model guidance and cold outbreak late this weekend. All model guidance has backed off on intensity of cold shot. Now looks like only seasonable cold followed by quick moderation to normal and above into mid/late next week with a return to seasonable chill late next week and next weekend. No significant cold shots and no significant rainfall expected next 7-10 days. Expected rainfall <0.25".
11/23/2017 8:30 AM 0.03 M M M M The .03" was left over from yesterday morning ongoing light rain. Just a snooze fest as far the weather goes for the next 10 days. Little rainfall, less than 0.25" expected. Temperatures likely to average near normal but with some ups and downs of mild and chilly periods. No real cold and no blowtorch warmth. Just very quiet and uneventful until further notice.
11/24/2017 5:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M When it is warmer in International Falls, MN (42 degrees) than it is across all of NJ (20-25 North and 25-30 South) you know it won't be turning cold anytime soon. Quiet week of weather upcoming with little to no rainfall. Temps will start near normal then spike to above normal mid-week than return to near seasonable for late week. Weather in a word Zzzzzzzz until further notice.
11/25/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Quiet week of weather upcoming. No rainfall expected for the coming workweek. Next chance at some rainfall looks to be at some point next weekend with a frontal passage. Generally looking at <0.25". Temperatures will AVERAGE close to normal this coming week with a chilly start, moderation mid week then cooler again late week. No significant cold or blow torch warmth expected. November looks to finish below normal across NJ with temp departures of about 1 to 1.5 degrees below normal for the month. November was dry with limited rainfall. Looks like at least first week of December will be on the milder side with generally zonal flow. Early thinking is that it COULD turn colder in the east beyond that. Canada remains very cold just that at this point flow will not allow cold air to surge south into the U.S. but that may change once to about 12/10 or so. Low confidence right now but a chance.
11/26/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
11/27/2017 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Fair and chilly morning will give way to a sunny a near seasonable afternoon. Quiet weather pattern continues this week and likely into next week. Precipitation this week <0.25" mainly with some late week showers. Temperatures will spike above normal Wednesday than more seasonable weather to end the week. Overall pattern still looks like any change to sharply colder will have to wait until around 12/10....that remains low confidence at the moment but some subtle hints of a colder pattern do exist for mid and late December. Will have to watch to see how things develop. Really until then not much going on in terms of heavier precipitation or big positive or negative temp departures.
11/28/2017 5:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Next chance rainfall is Friday with some scattered light showers - amounts <0.25" expected and most spots will receive little or nothing. Warmest day of this week will be Wednesday. Late week / weekend temps will fall to normal or a touch below. Beyond the shower chances Friday next rainfall event looks to be centered around next Thursday associated with a rather strong cold front. Amounts with that system at this vantage point look to be on the order of 0.25" - 0.50". Growing confidence of pattern change to colder coming around 12/10. The front next Thursday may actually be the start of the pattern flip. EURO EPS becoming quite bullish on change to colder pattern with western ridge / eastern trof and high latitude blocking. Very cold air has been building in Canada for several weeks but with no amplitude to the upper flow it lacked a way to flow south into the U.S., it looks like that will be changing as we get to late next week / weekend. GEFS/CMC EPS and climate models are also picking up on this pattern shift. Want to wait a few more days before we call it locked and loaded but mid and late December could feature some impressive cold and of course with the cold frozen precip chances will increase. We shall see where this pattern takes us but in the meantime enjoy the next 10 or so days of little precip and near seasonable chill.
11/29/2017 6:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Mildest day of the week today then cooling to near normal tomorrow into the weekend. Above normal temps to start next week. Cold front signaling a change in the overall pattern to affect the area next Wednesday night and Thursday. Looks like decent slug of rain with the front on the order of 0.50" to 0.75". Colder air follows the front and that should mark the beginning of what looks to be a cold second half of December. Guidance and ensemble data becoming increasingly bullish on western ridge / eastern trof with high latitude blocking getting established as we move toward mid December. If pattern sets up as advertised some bitter cold is possible once past 12/10. Of note: 16 of 51 EURO EPS members produce a snow event, at least for northern 1/3 of NJ in the day 12 to day 15 period. Just speculation at this point but signal is there. In summary winter looks to be getting down to business by mid December and that pattern could well lock in right through the holiday period. We'll see how it evolves as time goes on but signal is there for at least some very cold weather as we move into and through December. November will end up a dry month with temps about a degree below normal over most of NJ.
11/30/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Precipitation November: 1.16". Precipitation Y.T.D.: 46.73. Snowfall November: Trace (sleet). Snowfall 2017-18 season to date: Trace. Pattern change is coming. Will be quite some time before we see the relative warmth of yesterday repeated. Stay tuned!
12/1/2017 8:30 AM 0.02 M M M M Time of ob was 8:30 - just late getting it submitted. Pattern change well supported by model guidance now and frontal passage next Wednesday evening will mark the beginning of the pattern shift here in NJ. Waves of progressively colder air will follow into the 2nd. and 3rd. week of December. I'd give 50/50 odds that there is some snowfall over at least over northern 1/3 of NJ by December 15th. We'll see how that works out.
12/2/2017 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Next rain chances come Tuesday into Wednesday associated with cold frontal passage. Front should clear NJ during Wednesday morning. Rainfall totals look to be in the 0.50" - 0.75" range. This will be the wettest system most on NJ has seen in quite a while. Temperatures will spike ahead of the front on Tuesday, into the mid and upper 50's most spots. Highs on Wednesday will occur during the morning than fall back during the afternoon. Temperatures by next weekend could feature highs in the upper 20's to mid 30's and overnight lows of 15-25 across NJ. First THREAT of some measurable snow could also come late next week or next weekend. Looks to be light and associated with a clipper system but will have to keep an eye on possible coastal development although at this time that appears like a low chance. Colder than normal weather pattern looks to persist right though the holiday period. Some evidence from Euro EPS that mid month could turn bitter cold but still uncertain where the coldest of the air will be aimed. Stay tuned could be an active month of weather upcoming.
12/3/2017 8:15 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
12/4/2017 8:15 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Very heavy frost.
12/5/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
12/6/2017 6:50 AM 0.32 M M M M
12/7/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
12/8/2017 8:15 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Pattern change every bit as advertised. Snow is coming and waves of colder air will follow. Cold pattern with at least additional snow threats will continue for next two weeks at least. Significant cold shot mid next week.
12/9/2017 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Waiting on the first flakes. Based on radar trends and past several runs of shorter range model data seems to me snow amounts will be on the lower end of the ranges that are currently ongoing in some forecast outlets. Expecting 1-2" max over NW NJ or generally along and north of Rt. 80 and west of I287. Max amounts still look to be interior SNJ/CNJ or south of Route I195 and west of the Parkway. Amounts there could still approach 4-5" but confidence in that is lower than yesterday. Radar trends are a bit concerning. We'll see how this starts to fill in or not over the next few hours. Some light snow or snow showers later Tuesday will lead to cold blast mid-week. Still looks like cold pattern overall for balance of the month. That is not to say the cold will not ease at times before reloading. Pretty much as slam dunk that December ends below normal in the temp department.
12/10/2017 8:00 AM 0.32 4.1 M 3.9 M Snow total last 24 hours = 4.10" Ratios about 13:1. Snow depth at ob time: 3.9" For some reason system will not let me enter new snowfall total on this form. Keeps giving error and won't let it be submitted? (MG note: set new snow depth to 4.1". OST 12/10/2017 8:38 AM)
12/11/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
12/12/2017 8:30 AM T M M 1.0 M Trace of precipitation overnight and early this morning with scattered sprinkles. Snow depth ranges from 0" to 1" in the woods and shaded locations. Temperature departures first 7 days of December across NJ were running on average 5.5 to 6.0 degrees above normal. Those departures are now down to about 1.4 to 1.8 above and with the cold pattern persisting should be completely wiped out over the next 2-3 days. Temperatures will moderate to closer to normal by the weekend but no persistent above normal warmth is in sight. Pattern looks to remain cold for the balance of the month although uncertainty exists about how cold it gets for the mid and north Atlantic coast as we progress through the last 1/3 of the month. Details far from clear but potential exists for rain and/or freezing or frozen precip around Christmas and the week between Christmas and New Years. That is a ways off but some signal is there for unsettled weather. In the meantime would not be surprised to see 1 or maybe 2" snow in spots very late tomorrow night into Thursday across NJ. Clipper system should do the dirty work with some high ratio snows.
12/13/2017 7:30 AM 0.02 T M T M .02" from light sprinkles yesterday mid to late morning and a snow shower last evening that deposited a trace of snow cover. Low temp this morning of 13 with a bitter wind. All old snow from weekend reduced to trace amounts with above freezing temps from yesterday.
12/14/2017 7:30 AM 0.15 2.0 M 2.0 M 2" new snow with event that just ended. Ratio of about 15:1.
12/15/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Overcast and cold this morning. A little more light snow on the way for later today and this evening. Generally light <1" northern 1/2 of NJ. Best amounts over southern 1/3 where 2-4" could fall. Up to 2" central. Break from the cold and snow next week as temps moderate to seasonable.
12/16/2017 8:00 AM 0.03 0.5 M 1.5 M Another .50" powdery snow late yesterday afternoon into early evening. Water content = 0.03"
12/17/2017 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M 1.2 M Temperatures across NJ are now running about 1.5 degrees below normal for December. The +6 departures at the end of the first 7 days of the month have been wiped out by the recent cold. Going forward....the coming week will AVERAGE above normal and by this time next week temperatures for the month will once again be above normal for December. Precipitation this coming workweek will be light and spotty. Meanwhile the coldest air mass of the season will be getting ready to plunge into the middle of the country. Pretty much cross polar flow will deliver frigid arctic air east of the Rockies and west of the Ohio River Valley by next weekend. Surface pressures could rise to 1055 mbs+ over the northern plains by Christmas Day. This will be a frigid outbreak. This cold air will make only slow progress to the east coast as rising heights build off and over the Southeast U.S. This will keep a front along the east coast for several days starting next weekend. Precipitation in the form of rain seems likely at times starting next Saturday and into Christmas Day. The cold air should have enough push to make it into NJ Christmas week but by far the coldest of the air will be centered over the nations mid section. Only if the Arctic air pushes east faster would we be able to muster snow for Christmas. Pattern has been trending away from that last few days with slower push of the cold air to the east. By the time it does get colder the frontal boundary will likely have pressed well south to keep precipitation south of NJ. It is a bit of a complex pattern so worth watching but as of now can't say I expect much if any snowfall between now and say 12/27 at least.
12/18/2017 6:00 AM T M M 0.3 M Reported snow depth is .30" that is in shaded areas. Open areas have no snow cover. Arctic getting ready to unload. Temperatures will moderate this week with warmest days likely Tuesday (tomorrow) and Saturday/Sunday. Some parts of NJ (especially SNJ) could reach or exceed 60 later this week or more likely the coming weekend. It will cool for mid week ahead of the late week warmer surge. Meanwhile by late week bitter cold Arctic air mass will be pushing south through the nations mid section. By late week bitter cold will extend from the east slopes of the Rockies to roughly the Ohio Valley. While the direct push of the Arctic air will be south it will then start to spread east. Euro is slower and GFS faster with it reaching NJ. Euro waits until after Christmas Day, GFS has colder air arriving Christmas Eve. Best idea as of now may be a compromise between the two with it turning colder Christmas day. If the Euro is correct and push east is slower it could be a very warm Christmas across NJ. Regardless, colder weather will be back to end the month and likely will persist into the first week of January. Again, brunt of the cold air will be the Mid-West/Northern Plains (temperatures could drop to -25 / -35 with wind chill readings to -50 possible in the days leading up to Christmas) over a large area from ND/SD east to Wisconsin and south to Kansas and Nebraska. For NJ when the cold air arrives it will be more modified with highs in the 20's and lows in the single digits and teens for a time mid to late next week. Rainfall for NJ looks minimal this workweek but could see a slug of 0.50" amounts around Saturday or Sunday with slow moving cold front. As for snowfall for NJ....maybe a little something as the colder air takes over early next week but after that pattern looks cold and dry for several days. Arctic high pressure could run in the 1055 - 1060 mb. range as it settles over the northern plains and northern Rockies next week.
12/19/2017 8:00 AM T M M M M Trace last 24 hours associated with sprinkles last evening. Milder today ahead of a cold front then chilly Wednesday and Thursday. Warms up again over the weekend with a decent slug of much needed rain (has been quite dry over the last 6-8 weeks) ahead of Arctic cold front. Still model timing differences but consensus seems to be Arctic air arrives during Christmas afternoon or evening. Remains to be seen if wave can form along the slow moving front to perhaps change the rain to some snow before precip moves out. The period 12/26 to 12/30 looks very cold but dry as strong Arctic high pressure dominates most of the country east of the Rockies. Exceptions may be Texas and the deep south where front gets hung up and gulf moisture overruns the cold Arctic air.
12/20/2017 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Temperatures for December are now right about back at "zero" departure from normal. After a few above normal days over the next 4-5 days trend looks to reverse again. With the coming cold last 7 days of the month temperatures for December likely to end the month below normal but with big swings up and down over the 31 day period to get there.
12/21/2017 7:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Still chance some snow Christmas morning for northern 1/3 of NJ as wave forms along cold front and moves RAPIDLY up along the mid and north Atlantic coast deepening as it does so. Details far from clear but chance exists. Heaviest snow will be well north over central and northern New England but depending on storm track and rate of intensification some rain could end as snow over northern 1/3 of NJ. Cold air will follow for rest of next week. Next storm threat around New Year's Eve / Day. Overall pattern looks cold into first week of January. Looks like some much needed rain for NJ (heaviest over northern 1/2) on Saturday. Amounts could approach 1" in spots north but generally a 0.50" - 0.75" is expected over NJ. Colder air starts to press into the area Saturday evening as front slowly pushes off the mid and north Atlantic coast. Temperatures on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day will be cold as the warmth from Saturday will be pushed offshore with frontal passage during the evening/overnight.
12/22/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Three above normal days (today, Saturday and likely Sunday) coming up and then cold pattern takes hold right into the New Year. Still chance snow for Christmas morning along and north of Route 78. Any snow will be moving out of NJ quickly Monday morning but a coating to an inch or so is possible along and north of Route 78. Cold and dry follows with next snow threat late next week or New Year's weekend. Could turn very cold by New Year's Eve or New Year's Day behind any potential storm system.
12/23/2017 8:45 AM 0.32 M M M M Much needed rainfall in progress. Latest U.S. Drought Monitor had NNJ under D0 conditions and a large area of drought conditions (D0 and D1) developing up and down the east coast. It has been dry of late. Thankfully it is not the middle of summer.
12/24/2017 8:30 AM 0.53 M M M M Event total = 0.85" Looks like a White Christmas from roughly Rt. 78 on north and especially north of Rt. 80 and west of 287. Roughly expecting a coating to up to 1" vicinity of Rt 78 on north to 80 and then 1-3" from Rt 80 / west 287. Elevation will play a role so higher elevations will see max amounts. Could be some isolated 4" amounts high spots of Sussex and Passaic Counties. Little or no snow expected south of Route 78. All snow will be over and done by 7-8:00 tomorrow morning. Winds will howl into the early to mid afternoon with gusts of 40 mph+. Bitter cold will follow for mid and late this coming week and into the New Year's weekend. Still snow threat late week or over the coming weekend. Looks like light to moderate event at this time as storm track may stay south and offshore but needs to be watched. Regardless New Year's weekend looks bitter cold.
12/25/2017 6:30 AM 0.27 0.6 M 0.6 M Total snow 0.60". Total melted = 0.27" Light snow changed to a period of rain then ended as snow last evening into the overnight. Winds will pickup and become strong and gusty into early afternoon. Temperatures are now back to above normal for December over NJ, by about 1 degree. That will surely be wiped out over the next 7 days and December looks to close out with below normal temperatures...was an up and down ride. Today looks like the last day with temps above freezing for about 10 days or so for most of the state. Some bitter cold is coming around the New Year and if we can get even some modest snow cover some readings at or just below zero would be possible over the northwest portion of the state. Next chance snow looks to be centered around 12/30, looks light but details not clear. A peaceful and blessed Christmas to all.
12/26/2017 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M T M Leftover snow cover is only trace amounts. Cold, cold and more cold next week to 10 days. Guidance pretty bullish on some below zero readings over parts of NJ before all is said and done. Especially if we can get some snow cover over the coming weekend. Any weekend snow looks on the lighter side with clipper diving through and then deepening offshore. Options still on the table so it needs to be watched but it should not get out of hand for NJ. Looks to deepen too late to really dump on NJ, that looks to be reserved for parts of New England but still worth watching. December will finish solidly below normal in the temperature department with the cold of the coming days. Bitter cold will open January. Pattern looks to break around 1/6 to 1/8 and most guidance looks to flip trough into the west and develop a ridge over the east. Not sure yet to what extreme this takes place but after a bitter cold opening week there could be a big reversal for 2nd. and 3rd. week of January. In the meantime a first class Arctic cold pattern is underway and will only get colder as we head into the New Year's weekend.
12/27/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Bitter cold and essentially dry right into and through the New Year's weekend. Still chance some light snow Friday night into early Saturday. MAYBE on the order of 1-2" of fluff. No big storms on the horizon. Long duration bitter cold in full swing and will remain so right into middle of next week. Below zero overnight readings now look likely over parts of NNJ before all is said and done. Bitter cold long duration event. New Year's Eve in Times Square will be frigid....don't under estimate the cold if you are heading out.
12/28/2017 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M T M Just scattered trace snow amounts left from Christmas Eve event. Low temp this morning 5 degrees. As cold as it is it will get colder before this pattern breaks. Some bitter cold lies ahead over the next 7 - 10 days before we start pulling out of this pattern. Some of the model guidance is just so impressive with the depth and widespread nature of the Arctic outbreak. Records will fall over large parts of U.S. from the Plains/Mid-West/Ohio Valley/and up and down the east coast within the next 7 days. New Years Eve will be frigid in Times Square....be prepared if you plan to venture out and stand there for hours. I can't quite grasp doing that myself. There were a few sub zero readings (-2 at Walpack and 0 at High point - per NJWXNET) over Sussex County this morning but most of the state was in the single digits and teens. Before this pattern breaks a freeze my be looming for Florida citrus crops. As for snowfall. Still looking at 1 to MAYBE as much a 3" fluff centered late tomorrow night into Saturday. Next snow threat looks be be centered on next Thursday. Many options on the table with that potential event. Once past January 10th. we will be pulling out of this pattern and it remains to be seen how fast and to what extent that happens. There is a chance it warms up dramatically for the last 1/2 of January. Will be interesting to see monthly temperature departures on 1/15 and then see where they are on 1/31. First half of month will see some big negative departures but not sure how much of those will be wiped out before January ends. In the meantime a cold period to rival some of the big ones of the past.
12/29/2017 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Overnight low of 5 degrees. Lows across NJ ranged from 0 at Walpack & High Point to 14 at some south coastal locations. Most of NJ had mins in the mid to high single digits this morning. Cold has been beaten like a rented mule. Significant cold into next weekend then it starts to back off after that. As far as Times Square for New Year's Eve the number to beat for second place is 11 degrees. That occurred in 1962. Tied for 3rd. place is 1976 and 1996 at 15. That 11 degrees is within reach so could tie or break for 2nd. coldest. The number 1 spot is safe, that was 1 degree set back in the bitter winter of 1917-1918. Temps are Central Park readings at mid-night ball drop time. Still looking at chance 1-2" fluff snow Saturday with clipper system. Next threat beyond that is around Thursday next week. Will be several days before we know how real that threat is. Currently looks to be glancing blow as developing ocean storm stays offshore but closer in track still on the table. Lead energy still out over the north Pacific so lots of time to watch. U.S. Drought Monitor released yesterday shows growing area of D0 (Abnormally Dry) from FL panhandle up to southern NY with D1 (Moderate Drought) over FL/GA - VA/NC and small area into eastern PA. Has been very dry. If pattern persists we could go into early Spring with developing/worsening drought conditions...lots of time to watch that.
12/30/2017 8:30 AM T T M T M Very light/fine snow falling at obs time. Coating so far. Another very cold morning across NJ. Fresh Arctic blast arriving tonight on gusty NW winds.
12/31/2017 8:30 AM 0.02 0.3 M 0.3 M Had .30" snow yesterday. Central and SNJ had most with widespread 1-3" amounts. December precip stats: 2.00" melted / 7.50" snow / 48.73" precip for the year. It is a cold pattern and it's built to last. Fresh batch of Arctic air arrived overnight. Temp. currently 7 degrees here. Highs for most of NJ will be no higher than 20 all day today - all under sunny skies. For most of NNJ highs mostly in the low and mid teens. Brisk NW wind will make it feel just bitter outside. If you are heading out to Times Square for New Year's Eve bundle up. With temps near or within a few degrees of 10 and a brisk wind the cold should be taken seriously. Next snow threat is centered on Thursday. Trends last few days have been for this event to stay far enough offshore to spare NJ any significant snowfall. Still need to keep an eye on it for a westward shift which would get at least coastal NJ in on some higher snowfall totals. As of now though most on NJ would see only some light snow on Thursday. Storm will bomb out off of Atlantic Canada and help usher in yet another frigid air mass to end the week. Regardless of how much snow NJ does or does not get on Thursday temps will plunge for Friday into the weekend with perhaps the coldest readings of this whole extended cold snap. Highs on Friday could stay in the single digits over a large portion of the state. Overnight lows by Saturday morning could dip below zero in spots with most of NJ into the single digits by daybreak Saturday. Cold will relax once past next weekend. Still remains to be seen how much and for how long the cold eases. Still believe second half of the month could turn out to be several degrees above normal but we shall see.
1/1/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M 0.2 M Overnight low here -2. Overnight lows across NJ per NJWXNET ranged from -16 @ Walpack / -7 @ Peaquest /-4 @ High Point / 0 @ Howell up to 11 at West Cape May. Most of NJ ranged from 0 to +9. Ball drop temp at Times Square was 9 and that was good enough for the second coldest. It beat the old second place record of 11 set in 1962. Temperatures for December across NJ based off EWR/TTN/ACY monthly climo data ran about 2 degrees below normal. Was an up and down ride. Roughly went from +6 at end of first week, that got wiped out to 2 below with a cold shot, that was followed by warmer temps that got it back to 2 above and then the current cold snap got NJ to end the month about 2 below. Going forward the coldest blast of this now 1 week old Arctic chill will arrive this coming Friday into the coming weekend. Unlike the prior cold blasts that came to NJ from across the mid-west this coming blast will be a direct Arctic shot right from Ontario and Quebec. Temperatures on Friday and Saturday look like they could spend most of the daylight hours in the single digits with widespread overnight lows from below zero to the low single digits Saturday and Sunday morning. Still chance some snow on Thursday. As of now best chances of accumulations look to be from NJ TPK eastward with highest chances along and east of the Parkway. Even max amounts at this point look to be in the roughly 2-4" range. Will all depend on exact storm track and won't have a better idea on that until tomorrow. Regardless of track this storm will explosively deepen as it heads for the Canadian Maritimes perhaps down to the 945 mb. range. This will be ideal setup for winds to howl from the NNW across NJ to usher in the end of week Arctic assault and windchill readings could get as low as -15 to -25 for a time. By this time next week the worst of the cold will be over and we'll be pulling out of this bitter cold pattern. Happy New Year to all!
1/2/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 0.2 M Another bitter cold morning across the state with lows near zero far NW and low to mid single digit readings to around 10 across the rest of the state. Snow chances for Thursday remain as outlined yesterday...early numbers 2-4" along and east of the Parkway....1-3 along the Turnpike and coating to 1" amount north of 78 and west of 287. This is just a rough outline but clearly max amounts are favored over southern 1/4 of the state and along the coastal plain. Still a delicate situation...storm will be deepening rapidly as it passes offshore and any tick westward in the track would increase totals...any tick east would lower the totals I've outlined above. Regardless, winds will increase and bitter cold air will flood the state Friday into the weekend. Record lows and record low highs are possible between Friday and Sunday morning. Once past the weekend the cold will start to relax for next week, although a mid week colder shot seems likely. The second half of the month continues to look milder as the cold pattern looks to completely collapse. Quite possible second half of the month runs 2 to maybe as much as 4 degrees above normal. We'll see if it is enough to wipe out the negative departures of the first two weeks. Thinking the month finishes up near or a degree or two below normal as the mildness of mid/late month may not be enough to completely erase the chill of the first two weeks. Snow cover remains at about .20".
1/3/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M 0.2 M Large and rapidly deepening western Atlantic storm will track up off the east coast tonight into tomorrow night. System is developing off FL coast this morning and will reach the Canadian Maritimes Thursday night with pressure in the mid 940 mb range. No real change in thinking from yesterday. For NJ best amounts will be southern 1/4 of the state and along the coast. Lesser amounts as you move NW. NJ TPK south and east 3-6" with the 3" closer to TPK and 6" from GSP eastward. As you head NW of TPK lesser amounts 1-3" and west of 287 and north of 78 coating to perhaps up to 2". Lowest amounts over the 3 NW counties. If this storm had tracked 100 miles closer to the coast it could have been one for the books. Winds will increase sharply tomorrow and bitter cold air will overspread the state Thursday night. Even where modest snow amounts occur there will be blowing and drifting of the snow. Bitter wind chills will affect NJ Thursday night and Friday. Highs on Friday will struggle to reach 10 central and south and spend all day in the single digits north. Even on Saturday temps will remain bitter cold with highs upper single digits to low teens across the state. Sunday will still be very cold but not as brutal with less wind and temps in the low to mid 20's. Temps will moderate markedly Monday and Tuesday of next week with some RAIN. Another modest quick cold shot for mid week then moderation again by next weekend. Second half of January still looks to average above normal.
1/4/2018 8:00 AM 0.01 0.1 M 0.3 M Snow and wind event underway. Steady light snow ongoing at obs time. Storm system continues to rapidly deepen off east of the Virginia Capes. Pressure is currently down around 965 mbs and satellite presentation is spectacular. Storm is moving quickly to the northeast. Trend over last 24 hours was to nudge track west a bit and expand the precipitation shield. As a result snow amounts will be higher, especially along the coast. Expected accumulations 6-10" from TPK east to the coast, 3-6" from the TPK back to PA/NJ border south of Rt. 78 and up into NE NJ, 2-4" still looks good north of 78 and west of 287 back into the NW counties. The bulk of the accumulations will fall over the next 5-6 hours, by early and mid afternoon this will be pulling away rapidly. Winds are already strong and gusty and blowing the snow around. They will get stronger into the afternoon and evening and temps will plunge overnight into Friday. Bitter cold continues Friday night into Sunday Morning with record lows likely and windchill readings -15 to -25 at times. Just a brutal cold shot. Milder weather Monday and Tuesday. Cold extends way down into Florida with freezing temps this morning for all but southern 1/4 of the state. Citrus crop threatened again overnight tonight. Pattern flip to milder second half to the month will start gradually next week (a transition week) but once to 15th and beyond overall milder pattern looks to get established as high latitude blocking gives way and mean trof gets established in the west and above normal heights take over for the east. Has been a wicked two weeks of cold.
1/5/2018 8:30 AM 0.33 3.9 M 4.1 M Total snow from event = 4.00" Total melted for event = .34" Event way over performed for southeast and coastal NJ. Amounts relative to coastal totals did taper quickly going NW toward the NJ TPK and NW from there. Even NE NJ and far NW NJ over performed but not to the extent coastal locations did. Bitter cold is now entrenched. Currently 2 degrees at ob time (8:30) not expecting much of a rise today. Highs today across NJ will be single digits NW and N to low and mid teens elsewhere all with a biting wind. Bitter cold again on Saturday with just a little reduction in the wind. Coldest night will be Saturday night into Sunday morning. Widespread 0 or below zero readings likely. Sunday will still be very cold but not as harsh. Starting Monday we will transition out of this bitter cold pattern. There will be another quick shot of cold air mid next week (Wed/Thurs) but absolutely nothing like this. Moderation will start again by next weekend. Still strong signal for above normal temperatures second half of January. Temperatures for the first 4 days of January are averaging 13-15 degrees below normal! Precipitation looks light next 7 days. Some light mix/rain Monday night into Tuesday, less than .25" expected. Next chance after that will be at some point next weekend, in the form of rain.
1/6/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 3.6 M Morning low here of zero. Lows across the state per NJWXNET -3 @ High Point and +10 @ Cape May. Another bitter cold day today and another frigid night tonight. Would expect many lows below zero across NJ by Sunday morning. Sunday will be very cold by normal standards but much less harsh as winds will be light. Monday starts a pattern transition week. In a nutshell, still cold on Monday with above freezing temps limited to mostly southern NJ, near freezing central and still just below freezing north. Tuesday is above freezing entire state, except maybe far NW where it could be close. Wednesday sees another quick cold shot but Thursday into the weekend it warms nicely with rain next Friday / Saturday. Another quick colder shot follows that and we finally pull out of the cold pattern completely once to the 17th. and beyond. It should be at least a 2 week period of above normal temperatures, maybe even into opening week of February. Temperatures for first 5 days of January are running 14 to 16 degrees below normal for the month of January. That is extremely impressive. We'll see where we are on the 15th. and then see how much of that gets wiped out by the 31st. I'm expecting January to finish below normal as I don't think the above normal temps of the last two weeks of the month will be enough to completely wipe out the negative departures of the first two weeks.
1/7/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Another bitter cold morning across NJ, the coldest morning since this cold siege began almost 2 weeks ago. Low temp here this morning -4. Lows across NJ ranged from -16 @ Walpack to +7 @ Cape May. Every county had readings below zero. Lows across the Pine Barrens were in the -5 to -9 range. Even NW Cape May County had a reading of -9. Just a bitter cold morning across the state. It is almost over. Another very cold day today with highs across NJ mostly in the upper teens to low 20's. Highs tomorrow above freezing SNJ, near or just above Central and near or just below North. Tuesday will be above freezing statewide. A quick shot of colder air for Wednesday with highs in the 30's. Thursday through Saturday will be mild with highs in the 50's and even some low 60's. A good shot of rain (.50" to 1.25") Friday into Saturday along with the milder temps. Another cold shot follows for 2-3 days with highs in the 20's and 30's. Once to 1/17 the above normal temperature pattern will take a solid hold and a prolonged period of above normal temperatures seems likely for the rest of January. The warmup is coming just a few quick cold shots before it takes hold. Temperatures for the first 6 days of January are running an amazing 15 to 17 degrees below normal. We'll have to see how much of that gets erased by the end of the month. We'll start eating into those negative departures mid and late week this week. Has been a brutal 2 weeks of cold but it is almost over.
1/8/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M 3.2 M Some light wintry precip likely later today. Snow/sleet/freezing rain from around noon into the evening hours. Precip will be light with minimal accumulations but with the ground frozen solid travel could be slippery, use caution. Temps will struggle to near freezing central and north Jersey and just above freezing south. Tomorrow temps break above freezing across the state for the first time in 14 days. A quick cool shot for Wednesday with temps in the low to mid 30's. Milder air returns for Thursday into Saturday along with a soaking rain event for Friday into Saturday. Colder again for Sunday into early the following week, nothing brutal. Then once to the 17th. a milder pattern looks to take a solid hold for the balance of the month. Temperatures the first 7 days of January running 14-16 degrees below normal. We will start to eat into those negative departures later this week.
1/9/2018 8:30 AM 0.03 0.1 M 3.2 M .03" Melted last 24 hours - .10" snow/sleet. Temperatures today will be above freezing statewide under mostly sunny skies. Finally! A colder day tomorrow with temps 30-35 NNJ ranging to low 40's SNJ. Thursday through Saturday warm nicely with a good soaking rain (.75" - 1.5") expected. Colder weather again Sunday through Wednesday before sustained period of milder conditions develop statewide starting 1/18. The milder weather is coming there will just be two short shots of colder weather before it can take hold. Patience - Patience.
1/10/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 2.6 M Good soaking rain upcoming from late Thursday night into Saturday morning with 1 to 1.5" expected. Some local spots could get up to 2". Milder Thursday through Saturday with 50's to near 60 in spots. Colder shot arrives late Saturday night through Wednesday of next week. Then milder again for a while late next week into next weekend.
1/11/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 1.0 M Nice mild surge today through Saturday morning. It will be short lived as a cold front whips through the area Saturday mid to late morning and temps rapidly fall back into the 20's and 30's by Saturday afternoon. Rainfall should be out of the area by the time the cold air arrives but the far NW counties could see the rain end as some freezing rain or sleet. Nothing major is expected. Temperatures today will be mainly in the 40's to low or mid 50's across the state. Tomorrow 50's everywhere with even some low 60's possible. It will be quite cold on Sunday and into the middle of next week with temperatures during that time generally in the 20's and 30's during the daytime and into the teens and some single digits at night. Next chance precipitation in the form of snow would come around next Tuesday/Wednesday. No doubt about it the wintry pattern is putting up a fight but still believe we enter a two week milder period once we can get past this smack down Saturday afternoon through next Thursday. In the meantime a general 1" rainfall with local 2" amounts will melt the snow and wash away all the road salt that has been in place since Christmas.
1/12/2018 8:30 AM 0.12 M M 0.0 M Power outage delayed report. Observation was taken at 8:30 a.m. and submitted at 3:15 p.m. As of 8:30 a.m. existing snow cover was down to zero.
1/13/2018 8:30 AM 2.64 M M M M Data entry a bit late today - had to wait for contents of cylinder to thaw. Event total = 2.76" (.12" yesterday and 2.64" today) Temps fell from near 60 at midnight to 18 degrees at 8am - currently 20 at 8:30 ob time. Temperatures yesterday reached or exceeded 60 across the entire state. Of note: NJ climo sites have cut their month to date negative departures by better than half. Temperatures had been running on average about 15-16 degrees below normal as of earlier this week. The warmth of the last several days has made those departures on the order of 6-7 below normal. The cold of the next few days will build back a bit on the negative but it is now totally possible the extreme negative departures racked up during the first 8 days of the month are fully eliminated by months end with the milder weather expected starting late this coming week through at least the end of the month. It is quite possible temperatures finish the month very close to normal +/- 1 degree. Still looks like a light snow event later Tuesday into Wednesday - perhaps on the order of 1-3" or 2-4". Above normal temperatures will return by the end of the coming week. Other than the snow threat on Tues/Wed no other significant precipitation events are expected over the next 10 days.
1/14/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Biting cold morning. Daily low here 7, currently 8.
1/15/2018 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Light snow event still on tap from later Tuesday, Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning. Accumulations on the order of 1-3" north, coating to 2" central and zero to 1" south. There could be an isolated 4" amount someplace over NNJ but generally 1-3" should cover it for most. Worst of this cold shot is behind us. It will be cold early to mid week but not brutal. Moderation to seasonable by late week and then milder for the weekend into early next week. Generally normal to above normal temperatures starting late week through the end of the month. Next chance precipitation in the form of rain will come around Tuesday of next week.
1/16/2018 8:00 AM T T M T M EDIT 11AM - 1/16/18 - LATEST GUIDANCE COMING IN THIS MORNING SUGGESTS THIS WILL BE ROBUST SNOW PRODUCED FOR NNJ. AMOUNTS BELOW ARE NOW REVISED AS FOLLOWS: UP TO A COATING INTERIOR SNJ - COASTAL SECTIONS SNJ MAINLY RAIN. AMOUNTS CLIMB INTO THE 1-4" RANGE FROM CENTRAL NJ COASTAL SECTIONS BACK UP TOWARD ROUTE 80. ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE 80 AND WEST OF 287 AMOUNTS OF 5-7" NOW SEEM LIKELY ESPECIALLY FROM NW MORRIS, WESTERN PASSAIC AND INTO SUSSEX. PRECIPITATION WILL BE SLOWER TO ARRIVE AS WELL WITH STEADIER AND HEAVIER PRECIPITATION NOT GETTING UNDERWAY UNTIL AFTER 7-9PM NW AND DEVELOPING SOUTHEAST AFTER THAT. SNOWFALL WILL COME TO END DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS WEDNESDAY NNJ AND ACROSS CNJ/SNJ BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. COMPLEX SITUATION AND SNOW GRADIENT WILL BE SHARP FROM CNJ ON NW. 8 A.M. Comments -> Period of very light snow between 6am and 7am left a coating. Bulk of the daylight hours today look to remain dry. Snow expected to develop toward late afternoon into evening/early tonight from NW to SE. Expected accumulations look on track from yesterday thinking. Coating to maybe up to 1" south / coating - 2" central and 2-4" NNJ. The higher amounts for CNJ and SNJ will be more over the inland locations west of the TPK. Lower totals as you go toward the coast. The 3 and 4" amounts look to be confined to west of 287 and north of 80 especially over Sussex County. Rain or a mix at times over central and south is what will keep accumulations lower. Cold through Thursday then temperatures break above normal Friday into the weekend and even into early next week. No sign of a return to any significant or lasting cold really through the rest of January. Would be some days near seasonable at worst. Next chance rainfall is early next week Mon/Tues.
1/17/2018 8:45 AM 0.34 3.5 M 3.5 M Snow event total = 3.5" (melted .34") Snow began about mid-night and ended about 9am. Much milder weather still on tap for the weekend so snow will not be around for long. Quite cold for next 24-36 hours then generally seasonable to above normal temps for balance of the month. Still think temperatures for January will end up not far from normal even with -16 degree departures for the first 7-8 days of the month. Looking for temperatures to average about 4-5 degrees above normal for last 10 - 11 days and if that works out monthly departures will be pretty close to normal, maybe 0 to -1 for the month. We'll see how it goes but regardless not expecting any additional bitter cold for January.
1/18/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 3.1 M Another very cold morning across NJ with lows generally in the teens but over the snow covered NW temps are in the single digits with even some readings of 0 to -5. Had a low here of 8. Per NJWXNET Walpack reached -6 and the warm spot was near 20 down near Atlantic City. As of January 17th. departures across NJ are running -5 to -6 for the month. We have one last cold/below normal day today and then the moderation starts on Friday with highs near or just above normal. The weekend looks to see highs in the upper 40's to mid 50's across the state from NW to SW. Sunday will also feature mild conditions. Next rain chance is early next week later Monday / Tuesday and that could be a 1/2" to 1" event. Even beyond that temperatures look to average above normal for the balance of the month. Not expecting any additional snow for January. It is within reach that temperatures for the month finish very close to normal +/- 1 degree. We'll see how it works out. Remember after the first 7-8 days NJ was running about 15 to 17 degrees below normal. Snow cover here has settled to 3.1". Snow total for the season here is at 15.1".
1/19/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 1.5 M Another cold morning across NJ. Lows ranged from -3 in Walpack to 27 at Atlantic City per NJWXNET. This will be the last frigid morning across the state for a while. Temps will reach to just above normal this afternoon and then well above normal over the weekend and into early next week. Rain likely later Monday into Tuesday (.50" - 1.0") then a cool down to around or just below seasonable for a day or two then back to above normal for the rest of January. Still not expecting any additional snow for January. Snow depth is an average (1.5") sunnier locations less and shadier spots more. All but the piles will be wiped out by the end of the weekend.
1/20/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 0.5 M Snow depth is an average 1/2" this morning and will all be gone by the end of the day. Just dirty plowed mounds will remain. Temperatures are already rising nicely this morning and will reach upper 40's NW and mid 50's SE across NJ today. Milder than normal weather will continue through Wednesday before it cools off to near seasonable for late week only to rebound quickly again by next weekend. Rain event later Monday into Tuesday looks poised to drop between .50" and 1.0". Temperatures across NJ are running 5 to 6 below normal through yesterday. I think the above normal temperatures of the coming 11 days will erase that by the end of the month. After the bitter and extreme cold of the first 8 days of the month January 2018 looks poised to go into the record books very close to normal in terms of temperatures. I'm expecting above normal temps to continue into the fist week of February. We'll see what happens beyond that but there are some signs a cold and potentially stormy pattern returns as we work through February - timing the return is uncertain at this point.
1/21/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M T M Just trace snow amounts left this morning, in shady areas. Bare ground most places. Another mild day today. Above normal temps continue through Wednesday. Dip to seasonable Thurs/Fri then milder again by next weekend. Now seems like a given that the bitter cold during the first half of the month will be erased by months end. January looks to finish very close to normal +/- .5 degrees. We'll see how it all ends up. Rain still likely Tuesday .50 - 1.00". Milder than normal should continue into first week of February and then we'll see where we go from there. Signal is for cold to return. How cold for how long and starting when yet to be determined. Enjoy the thaw.
1/22/2018 8:30 AM 0.02 M M M M Light showers and sprinkles overnight. Just cloudy at obs time and radar is clear across NJ this morning. Main rain event is tomorrow with frontal passage. Above normal temps through mid week then cooling late week with a quick rebound to above normal by this coming weekend. Temperatures for the balance of the month will average above normal.
1/23/2018 8:30 AM 0.44 M M M M Rain ongoing at time of obs.
1/24/2018 7:00 AM 0.45 M M M M Event rainfall total (last 3 days) was 0.91". Temperatures next 3 days will be very close to normal across NJ with highs in the m/u 30's N to low 40's SNJ. Milder weather returns again for the weekend with highs back to upper 40's to mid 50's from north to south across the state. Another chilly shot to end the month early next week. Another return to milder first few days of February before change to colder pattern sets in around the 5th. or so. Best guess on next snow chance would be between 2/3 and 2/7.
1/25/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M A cold morning across NJ but not far from seasonable cold, typical for late January. Lows ranged from a few teens NW to upper 20's far south. Temps will be a few degrees below seasonable this afternoon then right around seasonable for tomorrow. Milder 50's for Saturday and Sunday. Precipitation next 7 days looks to be around 0.25". Colder pattern setting up as we move into February. Intensity and duration of the cold not yet clear but with building ridge poleward along the west coast, high latitude blocking setting up and an ample supply of very cold air over Canada the potential exists for some very cold weather as we move through at least the first 2 weeks of February. First shot of cold air looks to arrive over the east around Feb. 3. Once the colder pattern takes hold snow chances will increase. Early call would be for temperatures to average below normal for February (-1 to -3 degrees) with normal to above normal snowfall.
1/26/2018 5:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Cold morning across NJ with temps generally in the low to mid teens across the state except for L/M 20's far south. Temps will rebound to just above normal by mid afternoon today. Milder 50's on tap for Saturday and Sunday. Some showers late Saturday night into Sunday early afternoon with cold frontal passage. Amounts less than .25". Near seasonable Monday then a quick cold shot to end the month Tuesday/Wednesday next week. Could be some light snow associated with that cold but it would most likely be in the form of snow showers. I'd note that the upper feature associated with this cold shot is quite robust so it will be worth keeping an eye on it over the next few days to see if something more than snow showers would be possible next Tuesday/Wednesday. Either way potent two day cold shot to end the month. Temps moderate back to above normal as it moves through quickly. Canadian and Euro ensemble data not as bullish on cold pattern first two weeks February in latest cycle. They both want to dump the cold air into the western third of the U.S. with just pieces breaking off into the east from time to time. Pattern in a state of change as we enter the new month so intensity and duration of first half February cold still in question. Pattern looks ripe for surges of bitter cold to enter the lower 48 just not sure where main focus of that will be. Stay tuned.
1/27/2018 7:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Milder today and tomorrow. Sun will give way to increasing cloudiness this afternoon and showers are expected tonight into early Sunday, except into Sunday afternoon SNJ. Pattern still looking to flip to a colder one as we move into February. Won't be all at once but back and forth until cold pattern settles in. Still uncertainty on how intense and long lasting cold is and exactly where coldest air is centered but to be sure evolving pattern will be capable of delivering the goods in terms of bitter cold and snow. Just a matter of fine tuning the details. Decent signal for snow threat across NJ by around next weekend.
1/28/2018 8:00 AM 0.12 M M M M Another mild day today, cooler for Monday then seasonable cold for Tuesday and Wednesday. A little light snow or snow shower activity possible as potent upper air feature moves through later Monday, Monday night into Tuesday. Not expecting any significant accumulations but some 1" amounts are possible over NNJ. Better chance at more significant snow later Friday into Saturday as pattern gradually turns colder. At this point pattern for February looks to be favoring cold air, perhaps bitter cold air over the northern U.S. with warmer air resisting over the south and southeast. This could make for an interesting pathway for snow and ice from the central and southern plains to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Could be interesting as we move through February. Temperatures for February could range from 1 to 3 degrees below normal depending how far cold air pushes and would expect snowfall near or above normal.
1/29/2018 8:30 AM 0.02 M M M M Two day rainfall = 0.14". Pattern will gradually evolve to colder as we move through February. Coldest of the cold against the normals will be mid through late month. First 1-2 weeks of February will be back and forth cold but a more lasting and intense cold for the second half of the month is the way the pattern looks to be setting up. Thinking along the lines of temperature departures of -1 to -3 and normal to above normal snowfall. Bit of light snow Monday night into Tuesday leaving a coating to perhaps up to 1" in spots and another chance of snow late week or over the weekend could leave modest amounts. No intense cold or major snows are expected over the next 7 days.
1/30/2018 8:00 AM T T M T M Trace of snow overnight. Some parts of the immediate NJ coast had 1-3" in a very narrow band right along the coast extending just a short distance inland. Snow showers or periods of some light snow could deposit another half inch or so in some spots. With two days left in the month the extremely cold (approx -17 degrees) negative departures of the first 8 days have been almost completely erased. As of the end of the day yesterday NJ temperatures are averaging about .5 degrees below normal. The thaw for the second half of the month of January, although a few days late in getting going certainly did a nice job of erasing the bitter cold that occurred during the opening days of January. Colder pattern is getting established and pattern looks to be setting up to deliver the goods in terms of a colder and what could turn into a snowier than normal February.
1/31/2018 8:30 AM T T M M M Few snow flurries after yesterday morning ob but did amount to anything. (MG note: based on above, changed zero precip/new snow to "T". OST 1/31/2018 10:54 AM)
2/1/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Total precipitation for January = 4.52" / Total snowfall for January = 7.60" Snowfall season to date = 15.1". Temperatures across NJ for January roughly averaged 1 degree below normal. Despite the above normal precipitation for January, the latest drought monitor released this morning shows roughly the northern 1/2 of NJ is still abnormally dry. Moderate drought extends from portions of Maryland, through Virginia and into NC. An area of extreme drought has developed over portions of Maryland with the latest issuance. Overall it has been quite dry recently over large portions of the United States and there are large areas covered by various stages of drought. February is looking colder and potentially snowier than normal for NJ.
2/2/2018 8:30 AM 0.22 1.5 M 1.5 M 1.5" new snow overnight into early this morning. Elevation made significant difference in snow amounts locally. Elevation of this site is approx 1000'. Once below about 700' there was little snow to be had.
2/3/2018 5:15 AM 0.00 0.0 M 0.9 M Cold morning with temperature currently at 8 degrees. Snow from yesterday has compacted and settled down to an average of 0.90"
2/4/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 0.7 M Some needed rain coming up for this afternoon into the overnight. Additional rain Wednesday.
2/5/2018 8:30 AM 0.74 0.5 M 0.2 M Snow yesterday afternoon/evening dropped 0.50" before changing to a cold rain. Total melted for event was 0.74". Average snow depth .20". Next event for Wednesday looks like snow to ice to rain northern 1/3 of NJ with snow and some ice accumulations likely. Snow to rain central and rain south. Some big daily temp swings next 7-10 days so that by mid month temps look to average normal to a bit above.
2/6/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Still holding onto some snow cover. Average depth is still .20". Messy weather day tomorrow with snow/sleet/freezing rain northern 1/3 and snow to rain central and south. Chances for most snow/ice are along and north of 80 and west of 287. 2-4" snow look to be followed by a period of sleet and freezing rain for NW area. Parts of central and NW Sussex may hold onto snow for most of the event and 4-6" seems likely up that way. Winter storm watch posted for Sussex and western Passaic. Central NJ 1-2" snow with rather quick change to rain. Southern NJ this is a rain event. Cold temperatures through Friday than what looks to be a 7 day stretch of normal to above normal temps following that. Still indications that later half of February turns quite cold but confidence in that right now is on the low side.
2/7/2018 8:00 AM T T M 0.2 M Snow began at 7:30. Light snow at ob time. Trace so far. Temp at ob time 23. Rain/snow line vicinity Rt. 78 as of 8am and lifting north. Sleet/Freezing Rain looks to reach to about Rt. 80 over next 90 min. and continue into early afternoon until temps work above freezing. Central and northern Sussex will be last to mix and change, probably not until mid or even late afternoon. Still average of .2" snow cover from prior event.
2/8/2018 7:00 AM 0.93 1.1 M 0.7 M Total melted for event = .93". Snow/sleet total = 1.10" Ice accretion from freezing rain was <.10". Cold today - moderation tomorrow then mild 50's for the weekend with another good soaking rain event later Saturday night into Sunday. Looks like 1"+ totals possible. Temps will average above normal for the next week or so. Temperatures for the month as of yesterday are running on average about 1 degree below normal. All negative departures will be erased over the next week and departures by this time next week will be above normal. Little if any snow is expected for next 7-10 days at least. Precipitation for next 7-10 days will run above normal. It remains to be seen how the last third of the month turns out in terms of cold and snowfall. Still potential for colder snowier conditions to return but confidence at this point is 50/50 at best.
2/9/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 0.5 M Average snow/ice cover is .50". Sunnier spots have less and more shaded locations have more. Really is an ice sheet more than anything. Significant rains later Saturday night into Sunday. Event totals could approach or even exceed 2" in spots. Flood Watches may be needed for parts of the state. Above normal temps starting tomorrow will persist well into next week.
2/10/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Soaking rains later today into Sunday night. General totals of 1-2" but some 3" amounts are possible in a swath from roughly Trenton to Newark. Flood Watches are posted for most of NJ. Lowest totals will be over the NW corner of the state but even there 1 to 1.5" seem likely. Temperatures will remain on the milder side of normal most of this week. Snow cover still averaging .50". Sunny spots have just trace amounts but shady spots are still near 1" of solid pack ice.
2/11/2018 8:30 AM 0.71 M M M M Event total so far = 0.71". Radar shows fire hose of moisture from the Gulf Coast to Mid-Atlantic and Southern New England. Additional heavy rain likely today. Some parts of NJ have already received 1.5 to 2.0" focused over the southeast counties. This large swath of moisture to will go a long way toward easing the drought conditions over a large part of the eastern 1/3 of the United States. Temps look to average above normal next 7-10 days and snow chances look to be near nil during that time as well. My forecast for normal to above normal snowfall and temperatures of -2 for the month is in big trouble. If has been very cold and snowy over a large portion of the Mid-West but pattern has not allowed the cold air to invade the east. Parts of Minnesota and Wisconsin are running about -15 for the month in the core of the cold. Chicago is running -8 and Cleveland and Toledo are running about -6. The cold air has been present but has not been able to move east. Euro weeklies from late last week did not offer much change in that pattern. Temperatures across NJ are currently running about -1 and those departures will shift positive by the end of the coming week.
2/12/2018 8:00 AM 0.46 M M M M Event total rainfall = 1.17".
2/13/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Crickets and tumbleweeds until further notice as far as snow and cold are concerned for NJ.
2/14/2018 8:30 AM T M M M M Some frozen precipitation this morning (light freezing drizzle mostly but some IP as well) left trace of glaze on all surfaces with temperatures in the upper 20's. Snow or mixed precip event possible Saturday night into early Sunday morning with details yet to be determined. Whatever falls will certainly be gone in short order as temps rise markedly for next week. If is does manage to snow it will be squeezed in between two very mild periods so timing and storm track will be everything. There will be just a small window of opportunity to maximize limited cold air and precipitation. Nevertheless some accumulations are possible Saturday night into Sunday morning.
2/15/2018 8:30 AM 0.03 M M M M Light rain showers late last night / very early this morning. Still accumulating snow threat Saturday night into early Sunday morning. Mild conditions prior to event, marginal cold air with event and still yet to be determined storm track make an early guess at accumulations difficult. The fact the event will unfold under cover of darkness is a positive for accumulations. Regardless a Spring Fever Advisory may be needed for a few days next week. Temperatures in the mid to upper 60's are possible and for parts of NJ would not be surprised if it got close to 70. Moral of the story is the snow will melt quickly.
2/16/2018 8:00 AM 0.23 M M M M Quick cold shot Saturday into Sunday will bring some snow to most of NJ. Basic consensus is 1-3" right along I95, lesser amounts as you head eastward toward the the coast. Best accumulations of 3-5" will fall north of I78 with max amounts of 5-6" possible over highest elevations of northern Morris, western Passaic and Sussex county. Mostly a rain event for far southern NJ counties. Storm will be a quick hitter, in and out in less than 12 hours. All precipitation should we done between 7am and 9am Sunday. There is still room for adjustment in the above snow expectations. I would not expect max numbers to go higher but depending on storm track and rather marginal temperatures there is room for adjustment on the downward side. Fact this will be occuring under cover of darkness will help with accumulations given the mild conditions of past days and marginal event temps, especially along I95 south and east. Sunny Sunday afternoon with highs upper 30's NW and mid-upper 40's far south. Spring Fever Advisory for mid next week as temperatures take a run at 65-70 across NJ. Snow will not last long. Latest Drought Monitor shows large improvements from the southeast states up into our area and NJ has been removed from any drought category. Temperatures for February have now turned to above normal and are running 3 to 3.5 degrees above normal for the month. They will only go higher with the expected warmth of next week. February now looks poised to finish well above normal as far as temperatures go. Northern plains, Mid-West and Great Lake states have been very cold month to date and frigid temperatures have been persisting over most of Canada, the pattern just would not allow any of that cold air to come east for any length of time and now the pattern has turned mild with ridge conditions aloft so except for this well timed cold shot over the weekend the balance of February looks rather mild.
2/17/2018 8:30 AM 0.12 M M M M Snow event still on track for later this evening into early tomorrow. Mild weather (mid to upper 60's) still on tap for mid week. Whatever snow falls will not be around long.
2/18/2018 6:00 AM 0.68 8.0 M 8.0 M Snowfall total for event: 8.00" Started 4:30 pm and ended 10:45 pm. This 8.00" snow event is largest of the season to date. Snowfall for 2017-18 season now stands at 26.20". Warmer weather coming over next several days will feel nice but in the meantime it sure looks pretty outside.
2/19/2018 7:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 4.5 M Snow melted at a good clip yesterday. Sunny spots down to <1". Record or near record warmth expected Tuesday and Wednesday will finish it off. Remainder of February looks to run above normal for temperatures with no additional snow.
2/20/2018 8:00 AM 0.07 M M M M Snow cover is all gone. Lost all 8" in just under 48 hours. Just some very isolated patches here and there. Two warm days upcoming today and tomorrow with some records likely. Much cooler (compared to 70 degrees) Thursday into the weekend but still above normal. Pattern will remain somewhat unsettled with bouts of showers Thursday into the weekend. Rainfall next 7 days on the order of about 3/4".
2/21/2018 8:00 AM 0.01 M M M M Very warm day yesterday with temps ranging from low to mid 60's far NW to mid 70's central and south. Another warm day on tap for today. Temperatures for the month across NJ are now averaging about 5 degrees above normal. Even through it will turn much cooler tomorrow temperatures overall with continue to average above normal to finish out the month. Granted not a warm as it is now but still above normaL. Normal highs range from about 40 NW to 45 across SNJ. Daily highs should be close to those numbers for 1-2 days starting tomorrow then above those values for the balance of the month. Signals have been strong last several days for strong blocking across higher latitudes as we open March with lowering heights across the eastern U.S. This pattern can sometimes deliver the goods as far as east coast storminess so we'll see how the first two weeks of March evolve. Overall it would seem to be setting up for below normal temps and above normal precip.
2/22/2018 8:00 AM 0.27 M M M M Showers ongoing at observation time. After record shattering warmth yesterday it is back to reality today with temperatures more suitable for late February. Near normal temperatures today and tomorrow will give way to above normal temperatures again by the weekend and into the closing days of February next week. Temperatures yesterday were roughly 30-33 degrees above normal across NJ. Really amazing. Some decent rain totals expected over the next 3-4 days. Generally 1" amounts expected for most but some local 2" amounts possible.
2/23/2018 8:00 AM 0.24 M M M M Two day rainfall total = .51". An additional 1 to 1.5" rainfall likely over the next 60-72 hours. Chilly temperatures today will give way to above normal readings over the weekend and into early next week which will add to the already lofty positive departures for February. Opening days of March could be interesting. Building block over Canada and a tanking NAO will force low pressure tracking through the mid-west to move e.s.e. and redevelop off the mid or south Atlantic coast. Details are days away and guidance will struggle. Needless to say the potential exists for a deepening and slow moving storm off the coast by next weekend or just thereafter. Far to soon to say what impacts if any the potential system will have on the weather for NJ. Another system may repeat the process several days after the first. We'll see how it all evolves but worth watching. Blocking patterns such as the one being forecast by the medium and longer range guidance have given us some memorable events.
2/24/2018 8:30 AM 0.26 M M M M Three day rainfall total = 0.77".
2/25/2018 8:30 AM 0.89 M M M M Rain ongoing at observation time. Four day rainfall total = 1.66".
2/26/2018 5:15 AM 0.41 M M M M Five day rainfall total = 2.07". Sunny skies return today and for most of the upcoming week. Temperatures will average several degrees above normal right into this coming weekend. This will ensure temperatures for February finish up well above normal with monthly departures in excess of 6 degrees! Clouds and rain look to return by Friday into the weekend as a large and rather strong storm develops off the mid and north Atlantic coast and then lingers for a few days. Another round of soaking rains on the order of 1-2" looks possible perhaps along with some coastal flooding depending on exactly how situation unfolds. Can't rule out some snow for far north Jersey but chances look low as of now.
2/27/2018 5:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Next rain event arrives later Thursday and lasts into Friday with lingering showers into Saturday. Rainfall amounts are expected to be in the 1 to 1.5" range across the state. Extremely large, slow moving and complex cyclonic gyre will evolve off the mid and north Atlantic coast late week into and through the weekend. While the complex center of deepening low pressure will be well offshore a tremendous fetch associated with gale and storm force winds will generate large waves and swells. This will mostly be a marine impact event but coastal NJ and especially New England will see higher than normal tides and wave action from later Thursday night into the weekend. The storm will gradually pull away early next week. Another deepening low off the east coast, this time potentially closer in associated with retrograding block could bring another round of rain or even snow around 3/8 - 3/9. Some decent model support for an event 10 days out....we'll see how things progress. Another event could follow that a few days later before pattern relaxes.
2/28/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M February precipitation = 6.27" - YTD precipitation = 10.79" - February snowfall = 11.10" - Snowfall for 2017-18 season to date = 26.20". With one more day of above normal temperatures today the month of February looks to average 6.5 degrees above normal! Big ticket nor'easter stil on track starting Thursday afternoon/evening and continuing into the early morning hours of Saturday. Heavy rains of the order of 1.5 to 2.5", strong winds especially along the coast could gust to 40-50 mph and minor to moderate coastal flooding and beach erosion all seem likely. Fortunately for NJ coast the strongest of the winds look to have a NE or NNE trajectory and that will keep this from getting out of hand. Even so, with a full moon and strong winds minor to moderate impacts over about 3 high tide cycles will be problematic enough. Effects will be much worse from L.I. Sound on into southern New England including Cape Cod and the Islands. Wind gusts to hurricane force are possible for Eastern New England with moderate to severe coastal impacts as winds will be more easterly with a huge fetch. Storm will only slowly move away later in the weekend into early next week and will cover a large part of the western Atlantic. Rain could end as wet snow over NW Jersey with some accumulations possible by Saturday morning. All details are not set in stone just yet but impactful nor'easter is on the way.
3/1/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Moderate to high impact nor'easter set to begin later this afternoon/evening and last into early Saturday. Various watches and warning as posted across NJ. Heavy rainfall, coastal flooding, inland river flooding from heavy rain, beach erosion, strong winds and accumulating snow NW all look likely over the next 48 hours. Rainfall amounts of 1 - 2" with some locally higher amounts NNJ. Snowfall amounts of 3-6" possible NW NJ especially higher elevations. Will be heavy wet snow that could bring down some tree limbs and power lines. Lots of weather action expected next 48 hours. Another coastal system could threaten mid to late next week.
3/2/2018 7:00 AM 0.98 M M M M Coastal deepening rapidly about 125 miles east of SNJ coast. Will continue to bomb out and be centered just west of 40/70 by mid afternoon and then only slowly slip to the e.s.e. overnight into Saturday. Additional heavy rains especially for CNJ/NNJ still to come. Winds will continue to increase. Beach erosion and coastal flooding will persist into Saturday. Rain will change to snow CNJ/NNJ as the day progresses. Amounts of 6-10" are possible over the higher elevations of NW NJ north of 80 and west of 287. Lighter amounts of 2-6" possible over lower elevations of the rest of CNJ/NNJ. Various warnings posted for flooding, winds and snowfall across the state. Peak winds of 55-65 mph possible later this afternoon/evening. Currently 31.8 degrees at 7am with some sleet mixing in with light/moderate rain at times. Bumpy ride next 18-24 hours. Elevation here is 1050'.
3/3/2018 8:30 AM 0.73 9.0 M 9.0 M Storm total melted precipitation = 1.71". Storm total snowfall = 9.00". Drifts to 2.5 feet against the houses. Snowfall was highly elevation dependent. Totals across Morris County ranged from nothing south and east to 11" northwest higher elevations. Nor'easter lived up to the advertising.
3/4/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 6.0 M Next coastal storm setting up for Wednesday into Thursday. Details still unclear and this system will move a little quicker and be less intense. Accumulating snows still look likely and there will likely be a r/s line to deal with for a portion of the state. Amounts of 6"+ not out of the question for parts of NJ.
3/5/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 4.0 M Next coastal storm on track for Wednesday, Wednesday night and into early Thursday morning. Storm track still not locked down and final track will make a difference as to who gets what type and how much precipitation. EURO seems to be eastern outlier at the moment but can't be totally ignored. Most other guidance is further west with a track from Virginia Capes up toward Cape Cod. Storm will not be of intensity or duration of last one but regardless has potential to deliver 6"+ snows for some parts of the state, minor beach erosion and coastal flooding. Too soon to say where max snow amounts will fall. Another coastal storm looks to threaten by later this coming weekend. The -NAO is delivering the goods.
3/6/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 3.0 M Obs taken at 8:30 a.m. - internet issues so obs not logged until 5:30 p.m. Snow depth is average. Sunnier spots <1" and shaded spots 4 - 5".
3/7/2018 7:30 AM 0.19 1.4 M 2.5 M Light snow ongoing at obs time. Total snow thus far 1.4". Major snowstorm getting underway. Radar is lighting up over central and southern NJ. Sfc. low is just east of Virginia Capes and poised to deepen and move up the coast and be centered just southeast of eastern L.I. this evening. Very intense snow rates likely (Thunder Snow is possible) from late morning into late afternoon. Travel will become extremely difficult as afternoon progresses. Winds will pickup to 25-35 mph, especially closer to the coast. Additional tree and power line damage is likely. Some people are still without power from last Friday - a bad situation that may get worse. Widespread 10-15" snow amounts for CNJ and NNJ, some locally higher amounts possible. SNJ will see lighter amounts or just rain closer to the coast. Main focus will be along and NW if I95. Stay safe!
3/8/2018 7:00 AM 1.35 12.6 M 12.0 M Storm event snow total = 14.0". Seasonal snow total to date: 49.2". Current snow depth (12.0") is from settling and compaction. My location was just on the western edge of hyper intense snowfall rates yesterday afternoon / evening. Swath from central Morris County north into Passaic appear to be the jackpot zone with 17-24". Rates late yesterday afternoon were hyper intense with 4 - 6" per hour in some locations. Some locations east of the mega band over eastern CNJ / NNJ had way less accumulation. On the order of 2-4" for a storm total. Next potential coastal storm for later Sunday and Monday still exists but most guidance / ensembles keep it a safe distance offshore and / or do not completely phase the streams so the system remains on the weaker side. Still need to monitor for another few days. Power outages across CNJ / NNJ most extensive since Hurricane Sandy. Have managed to hold power here but so many in the area are without. Thoughts go out to you.
3/9/2018 8:00 AM T T M 11.0 M Only minimal melting of the snowpack yesterday under cloudy skies and temperatures only in the low 30's. Scattered very light snow showers off and on earlier this morning left a trace. Storm threat for Sunday night and Monday still looks like a miss. It would take only minor adjustments in the upper air pattern to bring the storm more northwest and closer to the coast. All pieces of energy will not be properly sampled until tomorrow so it is worth watching for any trend to the northwest which could bring additional accumulating snows to portions of NJ if things start to better fall into place.
3/10/2018 6:45 AM T M M 9.5 M Just trace melted precipitation from lingering morning snow showers yesterday. Next coastal low still looks likely to remain safe distance offshore. Latest model guidance and most importantly ensembles are clustering more with offshore track. System still appears on track to develop into large western Atlantic gale center early/mid next week. Precipitation over the next 7-10 days appears light on the order of .25 - .50". Temperatures at or below seasonable.
3/11/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 9.0 M Data over the last 24 hours still supports next coastal low staying far enough offshore to spare NJ any significant precipitation. Rather close call though and a 100 mile or so shift of the storm track to the west would make a difference so will keep an eye on it for a bit longer. As of now though only light precipitation (snow/rain) is expected over NJ Monday night into Tuesday. Would not be surprised to see some snow accumulations over the coastal counties as deepening storm lifts NE offshore. At this point does not look like anything major. Chilly weather continues. Snow melt continues to be slow with lots of clouds last few days, chilly temperatures and low dew point air.
3/12/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Coastal storm looks to stay safe distance offshore. Still could be some light snow in the air for parts of NJ but no significant accumulations expected. Southeast New England looks to take the brunt of this event. Precipitation over NJ next 7-10 days looks light, on the order of 0.25" - 0.50". Temperatures will start chilly and gradually moderate.
3/13/2018 8:30 AM 0.30 3.2 M 10.7 M Still very light snow ongoing at obs time. Snow total for event so far 3.2". Snow total for 2017-2018 season to date = 52.40. Could be additional snow mid to late next week with another storm system passing off the coast to our south.
3/14/2018 8:30 AM 0.04 0.1 M M M Additional .10" snow yesterday. Snow event total = 3.30" Total snowfall 2017-2018 season to date = 52.50".
3/15/2018 8:00 AM 0.02 0.1 M M M Snow showers from late afternoon into the evening. A period of very light snow from about 6p.m. to 8:30 p.m. Left .10" accumulation. Windy and cold this morning. Temperatures across NJ for first half of March running on average about .3 degrees below normal. Those departures will grow over the next 10 days with some very chilly to even periods of cold weather affecting the state. Would expect March to finish below normal when all is said and done. Next storm threat is next Tuesday with details far from certain. Does not look like as high impact as some of the prior events this month but accumulating snow is possible especially across northern 1/3 of the state. Cold air mass will follow.
3/16/2018 8:30 AM T T M M M Another day another trace of snow. Snow showers last evening left a trace of snow. Storm threat still exists for Tuesday into Wednesday. Details today are no clearer today than they were yesterday. Accumulating snow chances from Mason Dixon line northward. Storm track, time of day and precip intensity are just some factors that will determine who gets how much and what type of precip. What is certain is that some cold weather for March lies ahead for the second half of the month.
3/17/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M No precipitation last 24 hours. Snow continues to slowly melt. Three sunny but chilly days upcoming. Guidance clustering on next storm threat taking a more suppressed track which would leave most of NJ on the drier side of things with only SNJ looking at some moderate or heavy precip, mostly in the form of rain or non accumulating snowfall. There still could be some light snow accumulations across parts of CNJ/NNJ depending on how far north the precip shield gets and at what time of day. Would be pretty difficult to get snow to accumulate at this time of year during the daytime with light intensity rates. Very chilly weather for mid and late March will continue.
3/18/2018 7:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 2.0 M No precipitation last 24 hours as snow continues to slowly melt. Southern exposed areas are now snow free with shaded locations still holding onto 4" cover. Average snow depth is 2". Cold morning across NJ with lows mostly in the low 20's with some mid and upper teens far NW cold spots to around freezing right along the NJ beaches. Chilly weather pattern will continue for the balance of the month. Precipitation looks light this coming 5 day period with only far southern counties picking up around .5". Rest of the state should be about 0 - .25" through Friday. The northern edge of the precipitation shield looks to be wet snow but still not sure how far north the precipitation makes it. It is quite possible NNJ stays dry this coming work week. General model consensus is to keep storm system suppressed but northern edge of precipitation is still in doubt. Next storm threat would be next weekend with rain or wet snow. Some decent model consensus on that potential event.
3/19/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Some significant changes to model guidance last 24 hours. Almost all guidance and ensembles have trended NW with the storm for mid week. Still lots of uncertainty and many variables that make forecasting potential snow amounts and for what areas very tricky. Storm looks to come in two parts. First part tomorrow will remain rather suppressed with heaviest precipitation falling across SNJ mainly as rain and non accumulating snow. Northern edge of precip shield could deliver 1-3" snow NNJ. Second part and one that is of more concern would be Tuesday night into Wednesday. Complicated and low confidence forecast but suffice to say IF everything were to come together there could be double digit snow totals across a large portion of the state and IF those totals materialized it would be a heavy and wet snow that would once again be capable of bringing down trees and power lines. Lots to iron out over next 48-60 hours but it is possible that another high impact storm affects NJ. Details yet to be finalized. Stay tuned!
3/20/2018 6:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Another high impact storm system to affect NJ later tonight and tomorrow. While there will be wet snow/sleet and rain over the southern 1/3 of NJ later today the main system to affect all of NJ will start after mid-night tonight and continue through Wednesday. Still a very complex forecast but consensus looks to be pointing to a significant late March snow event. Best call right now would favor 6-12" amounts north and west of a line from Trenton to Newark. Amounts of 4-8" south and east of that line. Wild card is potential intensity of snow bands that look to set up over parts of NJ. It will take intensity to overcome the high late March sun angle (same as mid/late September) to get to the higher end totals and if the bands over perform totals in spots could be higher and if they under perform totals will be lower. Will be a heavy wet snow which again means the real possibility of tree and power line issues. NWS offices from Philly and NYC are going for somewhat higher totals than I've got above. I'm playing this more conservative based on time of year and climo. My totals above would be impressive enough but if heavier totals from NWS verify would be rather historic, especially along and east of I95. Still fair amount of uncertainty for an event less than 24 hours out but it may take until tomorrow morning to get an idea on how things are evolving. In the meantime Winter Storm Warnings are posted and another high impact event is looming with the real possibility of downed trees and power lines from the heavy wet snow.
3/21/2018 6:15 AM 0.01 0.1 M M M Number 4 in a series of snow storms is getting underway this morning - light snow ongoing at obs time. Looks like max snow amounts will be just northwest of I95 from Philly to NYC. Precipitation type issues will be a problem early on in the event along and southeast if I-95. In general 6-10" of snow is expected north and west of I95 with 4-8" south and east from there to the coast. Amounts over southeast NJ will be lowest with 1-3". There will be some locally higher amounts where banding gets established but in general I think 12" will be about the max amount over parts of north central NJ. The snow will be heavy and wet especially close to I95 and that combined with gusty winds 20-30 mph (40 mph along the coast) will bring down trees and power lines. This should be less of an issue NW parts of NJ as snow will be drier in nature and the gusty winds should help keep extreme buildup off trees. All of snow should be pulling out of NJ by about mid-night tonight.
3/22/2018 8:00 AM 0.79 8.8 M 8.5 M Snow EVENT total = 8.90". Total last 24 hours 8.80". Total for March to date: 35.40". Total snow 2017-18 to date: 61.60". Have listed snow depth at 8.50" which represents current event after some compaction and settling. Snow on ground prior to this event was on average 1-2" in north facing locations. South facing locations were clear. Event went close to forecast for NJ with 6-10" a good average for most places. There were some spots that did better with 10-14". The north coastal sections did much better than expected with a slow moving band last evening into the overnight. The real jackpot goes to Long Island with rather large area of 12-15" and some local 19" amounts.
3/23/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Finally after the better part of 3 weeks there are no significant storms on the horizon. A quiet and drier weather pattern is settling in. Pattern is still chilly and NJ will not get temperatures to at least normal until mid to late next week. Beyond that most guidance is suggesting a chilly opening to April. In the meantime the snow will continue to melt and Spring will gain some traction.
3/24/2018 6:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M 2.0 M Quiet and chilly weather into mid and late next week. Temperatures will average below normal through Tuesday, then near normal Wednesday before jumping to above normal by late next week into the Easter weekend. Next chance rain late next week or next weekend. Amounts look modest on the order of about .50". Chilly weather looks to return to open April. Snow continues to melt. Southern exposures down to 1" or less and shaded spots averaging 3". Average cover 2".
3/25/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M 1.0 M Quiet week of weather upcoming with moderating temperatures by mid and late week. Next rain chance look to hold off until next weekend. Amounts look to be modest at that time with totals of around .50". Snow continues to melt. South facing areas down to bare ground with average totals of 1" heavily shaded locations. Plowed mounds are still huge for late March.
3/26/2018 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Fair weather with moderating temperatures as we head through the coming week. Next chance rain Friday and Saturday. Still looks like chilly weather to open April and not out of the question that some wet snow flakes fly over the NW part of NJ before we break out of the chilly pattern around mid April. Precipitation amounts over the next 7-10 days look to be on the light side, about .50".
3/27/2018 8:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Lots of clouds around for next several days with best and heaviest rain chances Friday into Saturday. Some light amounts possible before then but overall totals to end the week still look to be around .50". Just enough to wash the leftover road salt away. Guidance still shows strong signal for a very chilly opening first 10 days to April. Still bitterly cold over central and northern Canada and some cold Canadian highs look poised to come into the U.S. as we start April.
3/28/2018 8:00 AM 0.15 M M M M Damp, raw and chilly morning. A few very mild to even warm days in store before the early April cold settles in. Guidance not shy about the magnitude of the coming chill and it is still possible we see some snow at least in the air before all is said and done.
3/29/2018 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Shower chances continue today and tomorrow, totals <0.25" expected. Warmest day of the week looks to be Friday but temperatures may actually fall by afternoon after some very mild early morning readings. Fair weather returns for the Easter/Passover weekend with temperatures near normal. Next rain event of any substance (maybe some wet snow NW) looks to be around 4/5 - 4/6. First 10 days of April look to average several degrees below normal. Beyond that maybe some sustainable Spring type weather.
3/30/2018 8:30 AM 0.05 M M M M Chance additional showers today as cold front moves through. Fair and pleasant weather for Saturday and Sunday. Chilly weather to open April and snow could still make an appearance at some point over parts of the state over the next 7-10 days at least in the air and maybe some accumulations depending on time of day and how various systems come together. Main message though is that chilly weather will continue for a while longer.
3/31/2018 8:30 AM 0.11 M M M M Total precip. since mid week = 0.31". Beautiful early Spring day on tap for today. Will be snowing and accumulating over parts of NJ by Monday morning and that still might not be the last of it. Notable cold also expected for early April over the coming 10 days.
4/1/2018 6:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Melted Precipitation March: 4.72 - Melted Precipitation Y.T.D.: 15.51" - Snowfall March: 35.30" - Snowfall 2017-18 to date: 61.50". Has been wet start to 2018 which bodes well going into the warm season. Was a very snowy March and we're not done with snow for the season yet. By this time tomorrow snow will be covering most of the state except maybe for the far south where amounts will be light and sloppy. Elsewhere across the state a 2-5" snow event will be incoming after mid-night and into tomorrow morning. Additional snow is possible for parts of the NJ by late next weekend or early the following week. Some cold weather is also on tap for the opening 7-10 days of April.
4/2/2018 7:15 AM 0.41 3.8 M M M Light snow ongoing at obs time. Total so far 3.80". Radar shows about another 2 hours for most locations along and north of I195. Additional snow possible late this coming weekend or very early next week.
4/3/2018 6:00 AM 0.17 2.2 M 2.0 M Snow event total from yesterday was 6.0". After ob yesterday an additional 2.2" of snow fell. As of this morning average snow depth of 2" remains. Tomorrow will be the warmest day for a while as temperatures spike ahead of a cold front. Highs will be mostly in the mid to upper 60's across the state except upper 50's far NW. Cold front will pass during the day and temperatures will fall back into the 40's by evening. Some heavier showers or even a T-shower could accompany the frontal passage. Chilly weather will prevail for the balance of the week and into the weekend. Normal highs are closing in on 60 degrees and after tomorrow we will not reach to near normal again (at least for any length of time) until around mid month. There could still be at least some snow in the air and maybe some accumulations NW before this chilly pattern breaks around mid month.
4/4/2018 8:30 AM 0.42 M M T M Some periods of moderate rain yesterday. Snow cover down to trace amounts. Line of showers and t-showers will traverse NJ later this morning into the early afternoon. Some brief heavy downpours possible along with gusty winds. These showers are associated with a cold front that will move through NJ later today. Once the front passes winds will pickup sharply from the NW (gusts to 50-60 mph) and high wind warnings and advisories are posted. Mild temps this morning will fall later this afternoon. Chilly weather for balance of the week. Next chances precipitation after today will be Saturday and that could well be more accumulating snowfall for parts of NJ. Final details yet to be determined. Stay tuned!
4/5/2018 8:15 AM 0.01 M M M M Strong winds from yesterday have died down and it is a cold morning across NJ. Lows were mostly in the 30's except some upper 20's NW. Chilly weather will continue well into next week. Chilly pattern still looks to break around mid month. In the meantime some wet snow is possible over parts of NJ Saturday and maybe again early next week. Nothing major but some accumulations are possible especially if snow can fall under cover of darkness. Has been quite a ride since early March in terms of cold and snow but it is almost over.
4/6/2018 7:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Ob late being posted today. At ob time few flurries had started to fall. Since ob time and now there was a period of light snow. That will be taken into account in tomorrow morning ob posting. As of 7:30 this morning 0.00" precip reported. Additional light rain/wet snow likely at times tomorrow with some minor sloppy accumulations mostly on colder and grassy surfaces. Chilly weather to persist into late next week...then pattern will start to break but only gradually. May take until last week of April to really pull out of the chill. Precipitation next 7-10 days looks light, on the order of .50 to .75".
4/7/2018 7:30 AM 0.02 0.2 M 0.0 M Had .20" snow yesterday morning after ob time. Did not stick on paved surfaces. At ob time this morning some light flurries and snow grains had just started to fall. Based on radar a weakening band of flurries should move through over the next 30-60 min. No significant precipitation is expected across NJ today as storm system will stay south and offshore. Very chilly weather into late next week before a warmup to seasonable or better by next weekend. Potential for some readings in the low 70's over parts of NJ at some point next weekend. Rainfall over next 7-10 days looks to be in the .50" to .75" range mainly focused around next Thursday. Snow threats for the 2017-2018 season look to be finally finished.
4/8/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Few minutes of snow flurries yesterday morning. Not enough for "T" amounts. Chilly week upcoming. Normal highs are upper 50's north to around 60 south. Temperatures this coming week will be below those numbers through Thursday. A temp spike Friday and maybe Saturday ahead of a cold front will send temperatures well into the 60's most places. Cooler weather will follow with temperatures falling back to normal or below for several days. Precipitation looks light for next 7 days with amounts of .25" or less most places. The next heavier and large scale rain event looks like early next week around April 16th. In the meantime one of the quieter weeks of weather we've seen in a while although still chilly.
4/9/2018 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Cold morning across NJ. Readings from near 20 far NW to low 30's far south. Most of the state in the mid and upper 20's. Chilly week with below seasonable temperatures through Wednesday. Thursday will moderate to seasonable and then a temperature spike Friday and Saturday ahead of a cold front will send temperatures into the mid 60's to mid 70's. A return to chilly weather will follow that for early next week. A dry week ahead with next chance rain with the cold front at some point late next weekend. That could be a decent rainfall with amounts near or maybe even in excess of 1".
4/10/2018 6:30 AM 0.02 0.1 M 0.1 M Fresh snow on colder and grassy surfaces this morning. Nothing stuck on paved surfaces. Total snow .10". Just few light flurries ongoing at ob time and radar suggests this will end very shortly. Chilly again today and tomorrow, seasonable Thursday. Much warmer on Friday and Saturday with highs Friday well into the 60's to near 70 most places and well into the 70's Saturday. Maybe even an 80 degree reading on Saturday over parts of interior central and southern NJ. Enjoy it because as fast as the warmup comes it will go equally as fast and chilly if not cold weather for April will return on Sunday and into early next week. Next precipitation event on tap for late weekend and/or early next week with what could be a soaking rainfall with amounts of 1-2" possible.
4/11/2018 7:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Another chilly morning but not as cold as recent mornings. Temperatures just shy of seasonable today, near or a bit above seasonable tomorrow and then two very warm days Friday and Saturday with mostly 70's but with some local 80 degree readings likely. Cooler temperatures along the beaches or wherever the west or southwest blows off a chilly body of water. Some decent rains early next week on the order of 1-2".
4/12/2018 6:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Some spotty light showers over parts of NJ later today and overnight as warmer air moves in. Amounts will be very light. Warmer weather will finally arrive for tomorrow and Saturday with temps mostly in the 70's, a few 80 degree readings possible. Will be much cooler 50's and 60's along the barrier islands. Soaking rain Monday morning into Tuesday morning on the order of 1-2". Much cooler / chilly weather returns Sunday into early next week then moderating to near seasonable mid to late week.
4/13/2018 7:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Mild morning across NJ for the first time in a long time. Chilly weather returns Sunday into early next week along with a soaking rain of 1-2" from Sunday night into Monday night. Won't rain the entire time but some heavy downpours are likely. Drier and more seasonable weather to return mid next week and beyond. Still no sign of prolonged above normal temps.
4/14/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Warm day yesterday with readings 80-85 most places. Coolest spots were beaches and far NW NJ. Same for today, with temps well into the 70's to low 80's except beaches and NW. Soaking rain Sunday night into Monday. Rainfall totals 1-2" most places with some very localized 3" totals possible. A nice Spring soaking. Cooler weather returns late tonight and Sunday. In some cases a 40 degree drop from today highs over NNJ. Cool to at best seasonable next 7-10 days. No prolonged warm weather for balance of April is expected. Overall cool pattern remains in place. After the upcoming rain event rainfall should be sparse for upcoming work week.
4/15/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Temperatures across NNJ are currently 35-45 degrees colder than the early afternoon highs in the upper 70's and low 80's of Saturday afternoon. Very impressive! Wind chill readings add to the chill. Cloudy and chilly today will give way to a soaking rain tonight into Monday. General 1-2" rainfall upcoming with some locally higher amounts. Drier and still chilly weather for the balance of the upcoming work week.
4/16/2018 7:30 AM 0.74 M M M M Heavy rain with torrential embedded downpours are ongoing across NJ this morning. At ob time heavy rain was in progress. Based on radar the rain, some it very heavy will continue through mid morning and then become more scattered and lighter in nature. Rest of the work week looks dry and on the cooler side of normal.
4/17/2018 5:45 AM 1.50 M M M M Two day rainfall event total = 2.24". There were some reports of 4"+ rain totals from NENJ, mainly from Bergen County. At ob time temperature was 33 degrees with very light snow and snow grains falling. Just barely a trace of accumulation on the deck. Another cold morning across NJ with temperature ranging from near 30 NW to low 40's SE. A gusty breeze makes in feel even colder. Temperatures will run below normal next 48 hours then recover to near normal late week and the weekend. No prolonged above normal readings are expected for at least the next 10 days as overall cool/chilly weather pattern persists. Precipitation next 7-10 days looks light, on the order of 0.25".
4/18/2018 8:30 AM T M M M M Another cold and windy morning. Several periods of snow showers passed through yesterday, Enough for a trace of melted. Chilly, or at least no warmer than seasonable through the weekend.
4/19/2018 6:30 AM 0.17 M M M M Light rain ongoing at obs time. Cold! 34 degrees. Chilly to seasonable at best weather pattern looks to persist for the balance of the month. Next chance decent rain later next week. Decent ensemble signal for .50" - 1" rain event centered around next Thursday. Except for some additional light showers today weather pattern looks dry until then.
4/20/2018 6:30 AM 0.11 M M M M Another cold morning across NJ with upper 20's far NW to upper 30's far southeast. A few batches of precipitation moved through yesterday, mostly rain but wet snow and sleet was mixed in during mid-day and again with some instability showers toward 4-5pm. Two day event total was .28". Temperatures were generally in the upper 30's to low 40's during precipitation yesterday. Chilly pattern looks to continue for balance of April. Next rain chances centered next Thursday with good ensemble support for .50 to 1" and maybe more depending on how storm from the southeast states tracks up along the east coast. Details not clear but what is clear is that this system will not have cold air to work with for a change and precipitation will be all rain....late April, about time.
4/21/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Finally a sunny (but still chilly day) yesterday. Next rain event still centered on Wednesday looks like a .5 to 1" event for most of NJ.
4/22/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Another sunny day on tap with seasonable temps. Next rain event is Tuesday night and Wednesday. Looks like .50 - 1", some additional lighter rain possible at some point over next weekend. Temperatures on average near or just a tad below normal for the rest of April. Temperatures across NJ for the month of April to date are running an average 3 to 3.5 degrees below normal.
4/23/2018 6:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M After a sunny and pleasant weekend another nice day is on tap for today with sunny skies and near seasonable temperatures. Chilly morning across NJ at this hour with lows in the upper 20's to mid 30's across the state, except for low to mid 40's right along the beaches. A decent rain event still on tap Tuesday night and Wednesday. Totals look on average to be 1" across the state with the upcoming event. Temperatures rest of the month look to average near or slightly below normal.
4/24/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Another nice day yesterday with sunny skies and temperatures for the day near average. Clouds increase today with rain tonight into Wednesday. Aerial average looks to be about .75" with some local amounts over 1" possible. Fair weather return for late week with a warming trend to above normal as we work through next week. Spring has finally arrived!
4/25/2018 8:00 AM 0.52 M M M M Light rain ongoing at obs time. Additional scattered light rain for parts of NJ for rest of today with some heavier showers likely early evening and before mid-night from west to east across the state. Scattered showers possible later Friday into early Saturday. Milder to warming pattern weekend and into next week with some readings near 80 possible by early/mid next week. After the rain today and showers Fri/Sat look like a drier pattern for most of next week.
4/26/2018 8:00 AM 0.25 M M M M Two day event total = 0.77". Another .25" to locally .50" rain event Friday night into Saturday. Widespread mid to upper 80's (90 for some spots?) by mid to late next week as warmth surges out across most of the U.S. A return to cooler or at least seasonable (which for early May is very comfortable) is likely for a period of time after the warmth as pattern is not wanting to lock into persistent "warm" pattern. Still some back and forth to get through.
4/27/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Areas of rain spreading across NJ this morning. Nothing at this location as of yet. Looks like about .25" for most locations today but some of the wetter spots could see as much as .50". Mid to upper 80's still look on track for mid to late next week before it turns cooler (seasonable) by next weekend. After today looks mainly dry for the next 7 days. When the final numbers are in for April it looks like the month will finish about 2.5 degrees below normal on average across the state. U.S. Drought Monitor released yesterday shows only limited drought east of the Mississippi. Worst areas are small areas of moderate to severe drought across piedmont of GA/SC and another area in south Florida. Only other area of note is an abnormally dry area over eastern VA. So far so good going into the warm season. Hopefully May will continue the trend of above normal precipitation...at least enough to keep things moist.
4/28/2018 8:00 AM 0.21 M M M M Some big temperature swings coming up in the days ahead. Showers with a cold front this evening / early tonight will signal the arrival of cooler air for tomorrow and Monday. That cool air will be short lived as a surge of summer arrives mid and late week before it cools to seasonable again by later next weekend. Rainfall next 7 days looks light, generally around .25".
4/29/2018 6:00 AM 0.30 M M M M Rounds of showers from last evening into the overnight dropped .30" rain last 24 hours. Much cooler today and Monday before warmup begins Tuesday and peaks late week. Still looking at m/u 80's to end the week at most locations. Exceptions will be far NW with upper 70's and low 80's and right along the beaches with any sea breeze. Rainfall over the coming week looks very limited with next significant chance showers at some point next weekend with a change back to "cooler" but that will just mean back to normal or a bit above. Temperatures even a few degrees below normal at this time of year are very pleasant so the air mass over the next 48 hours looks to be the last "chilly" one of the season as the pattern breaks down from the persistent cold/chilly one that has been in place since early March.
4/30/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Cool and blustery weather yesterday with similar conditions today. Warming begins tomorrow and peaks Thursday, Friday and Saturday. Seasonable and pleasant weather returns by late next weekend and into the following week. After the very warm weather later this week temperatures looks very pleasant with seasonable or a bit above for the following 7-10 days. Rainfall next 7-10 days looks minimal, less than 0.25".
5/1/2018 7:30 AM 0.02 M M M M Rain showers late morning yesterday were mixed with wet snow at times. Temperatures yesterday spent most of the time in the low to mid 40's. April precipitation: Rain/Melted Snow = 4.85", Snowfall = 6.30", Rainfall Y.T.D. = 20.36", Snowfall 2017-18 season = 67.80". Warmup starts today and moves into high gear Thursday and Friday. Still a possible 90 degree reading at a few NJ hot spots but mostly mid to upper 80's.
5/2/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Another sunny warm day today with low to mid 80's across the state. Exception will be right at the beaches with local sea breezes. Will cool back to seasonable levels by early next week. Strong ensemble signal for minimal rainfall next 7-10 days amounts of <.25" expected. Fire danger will be in the increase. Red Flag Warnings are posted for the entire state into this evening.
5/3/2018 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Was a hot day across NJ yesterday with highs generally 85-90. Similar day today and maybe even a few degrees warmer in spots since warm morning lows will give temperatures a higher launching pad. Temperatures across NJ this morning are generally running 65-70 except for some 50's NW cool spots. Highs today upper 80's to some low 90's most spots. Fire danger remains high and Red Flag Warnings are posted again today for central and southern NJ. One more very warm/hot day tomorrow before it turns cooler over the weekend. Rain chances next 7 days look minimal with <.25" expected for most locations.
5/4/2018 7:30 AM 0.15 M M M M Another hot day yesterday with highs across the state upper 80's to low 90's. Records were broken at ACY, TTN and EWR. Another very warm day today with most highs 85-90, it will be more humid so while it may not be as hot as last two days today looks like the most uncomfortable of this 3 day hot spell. Cooler and more pleasant weather will arrive for Saturday and pleasant near seasonable temps will continue right into next weekend. Line of showers moved through last evening and dropped .15". Additional rainfall next 7 days looks light, around .25". Some gusty showers/t-storms are likely this evening into early overnight. The next chance something more widespread and significant looks to be at some point next weekend.
5/5/2018 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Much cooler today with near seasonable temperatures and a gusty breeze by late morning/early afternoon. Showers overnight tonight into Sunday will drop light rainfall amounts. Rainfall totals next 7 days around .25". Temperatures next 7 days not far from seasonal levels mostly upper 60's to mid 70's across the state. Really not a bad stretch of early May weather coming up.
5/6/2018 6:00 AM 0.03 M M M M Ongoing heavy shower started just at ob time. After showers today it looks like a dry 7-10 day period with rainfall amounts of <.25". Temperatures close to seasonable mid 60's to mid 70's from north to south for the bulk of the coming week.
5/7/2018 8:00 AM 0.28 M M M M Two day event total = .31". Rainfall next 7 days looks light, less than .25" for most. Next more significant rainfall late next weekend or early following week. Decent ensemble support for widespread .50+ amounts. Temperatures pleasant this week, a spike to much warmer late weekend and early next week, then back to seasonable again.
5/8/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Looks like pleasant weather for the rest of the week with temperatures near normal to a bit above. Rainfall looks light next 10 days with most places receiving .25 - .50".
5/9/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Temperatures pleasant over next 7-10 days, near or just a bit above normal on average. Next chance decent rainfall over the weekend. Growing model support for .50" - 1.0". Hopefully enough to wash some of the pollen away.
5/10/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M SPC has slight risk of severe storms for most of NJ for today. Will be scattered but look out for a gusty T-Storm later this afternoon. Temperatures next 7-10 look to average close to or a little above normal. Temperatures across NJ for first 9 days of May are running about 9 degrees above normal. With a start like that and a pattern ahead that looks no worse than normal at times it will be hard to erase those positive departures. Precipitation next 7-10 days looks to be generous. Looking at showers/T-storms today, Periods of rain Saturday into Sunday and then additional rain next week. Totals over the next 5-7 days could exceed 2" in places with additional rains beyond that. Would not be surprised to see totals between today and May 20th of 4" across parts of NJ.
5/11/2018 7:00 AM 0.21 M M M M Thunder shower last night about 9pm. Additional rains tomorrow into Monday. Some 1-2" totals next 5 days and still decent model signal for 10 day totals of 3-4". Not everyone will get drenched but generous rains statewide next 10 days. Some big temperature swings across NJ next several days as warm front remains rather stationary over NJ, warmer south and cooler north into early next week.
5/12/2018 6:30 AM 0.12 M M M M Wet period coming up for NJ. Details on where heaviest rains occur over the next 7 days will be a work in progress but strong model support for 2-4" rain amounts for the 7 day period starting today. Severe weather is a possibility for CNJ/SNJ later today. SPC shows slight risk area for later today from I195 south and enhanced risk over SW NJ. A frontal system will be lingering across NJ for most of the upcoming week. Temps will have wide range depending on exactly where front sets up. In addition a large plume of tropical moisture feeding into the southeast U.S. will to some extent get pulled north into the mid and north Atlantic states as the week progresses. Details not certain but a wet to very wet period shaping up for eastern 1/4 of the U.S.
5/13/2018 8:00 AM 0.28 M M M M The 3 day today rainfall total at this station is: 0.61". Far south Jersey did best with T-storms late yesterday into the early overnight with 1"+ reports. Additional rains today will be focused over central and south. Guidance still supportive of additional 2-3" rains over the next 5 days. Tuesday looks like warmest day of the coming week with temps for most of NJ into the mid/upper 80's possible. Will depend on exactly where warm front sets up. Overall temps next 7-10 days will average above normal but some spots over the northern 1/3 will have some below normal days as warm front stalls and settles across the state.
5/14/2018 7:00 AM 0.37 M M M M Four day total = 0.98". Additional rains this week could produce 2 to locally 3". Mainly centered on Tuesday night / Wednesday and then again centered on Saturday. Tomorrow will be very warm and humid across NJ, especially central and south, highs mid to upper 80's across the state. PW by Saturday could approach 2" so some heavy downpours are possible. Looks like we will be heading into summer in good shape as far water levels are concerned.
5/15/2018 7:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Severe weather likely later today. Watch boxes likely to be issued. Lots of fuel for severe weather later this afternoon into this evening. Best chances over northern 1/3 of NJ but entire state is in play. Today will be warmest day of the week with mid to upper 80's by late afternoon. Cooler weather as front slips back south for mid and late week. Flash Flood Watch posted for central and south later today into Wednesday morning - heavy rain threat today on top of heaviest rains from past weekend could cause issues. Additional heavy rains statewide possible Friday into Saturday. Still strong signal for 2-3" amounts between today and Sunday. Some isolated spots could see 3-4". Keep an eye out for severe storms later.
5/16/2018 8:00 AM 0.22 M M M M Rainfall totals were not so impressive yesterday, except for some 1 to 1.5" amounts over Atlantic County. Did have some pea size hail here yesterday but it was very limited. Winds were impressive with many reports of gusts over 50 mph, and some max gusts of 60-65 mph. Thousands were left without power, trees down and some damage to structures as well. Additional rains between today and Saturday could total 2 to locally 4". Best locations for top end amounts central and especially south Jersey. Cooler Temperatures for balance of the week as front has settled south across NJ. Wet period will continue into Saturday with things drying out on Sunday.
5/17/2018 8:00 AM 0.79 M M M M Two day total = 1.01" - Total since wet period started back on 5/11 = 1.99". Additional rains today through early/mid-day Saturday could drop another 1-2" north and 2-4" central and south. Would not be surprised to see some locally over 4" amounts next 3 days over far southern counties. Temperatures will continue to hover in the mid 60's to mid 70's over the next 5 days. Might not see widespread 80 degree readings again until late next week.
5/18/2018 8:00 AM 0.09 M M M M Rainfall that is entered today occurred with light rain and drizzle that was ongoing at obs time yesterday, it ended about 11:00 a.m. Additional rains oved the next 60 or so hours looks to be on the order of 1 to 1.5" across NJ with the widespread heaviest amounts over the southern 1/3 of the state. Some local amounts over 1.5" are possible in any slower moving t-storms tomorrow and Sunday afternoon. Temperatures next 7 days will run above normal but nothing extreme.
5/19/2018 8:00 AM 0.11 M M M M Additional periods of rain today and scattered t-showers tomorrorw. Rainfall totals next 24 hours of between 1 and 1.5". On the cool side today with onshore flow but warmer and more humid tomorrow. In general an above average temperature pattern will dominate the next 7-10 days. Additional rains of 1 to 1.5" seem likely next 10 days, not counting rainfall of next 24-36 hours.
5/20/2018 8:00 AM 0.72 M M M M Rainfall total since May 11 when wet period began = 2.91" Have had rainfall on 8 of the last 9 days. Currently some breaks in the clouds with some sun breaking through. Could be a shower/t-shower some spots later this afternoon with frontal passage. Next chance rainfall will be late in the week and next weekend. We'll have to see what kind of impact it may have on the Memorial Day weekend.
5/21/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M No rainfall since 8am ob. yesterday. Sunny day today! ! Will allow the ground to start drying. Still looks like some rainfall at some point (Sun/Mon) over the coming Memorial Day weekend. Too early to say how much and exactly what time of day. As of now amounts look light (.25 - .50") but will have to narrow down the details as the week progresses.
5/22/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Showers around NJ today, sunny and warmer for remainder of the work week. Memorial Day weekend will start with a sunny day on Saturday but showers seem likely at times later Sunday and into Monday. Rainfall next 7-10 days looks to be in the .5 to 1" range.
5/23/2018 8:00 AM 0.67 M M M M Rounds of showers yesterday morning into afternoon and then additional t-showers early this morning. Next rainfall chances later Sunday into Monday. Warmest day out of the next 7-10 looks like Saturday with highs in the m/u 80's NW to upper 80's and maybe some low 90's rest of the state. Timing of the Sun/Mon rain not certain so impacts on holiday weekend not clear. Certainly has been a wet Spring with no pending drought conditions for the state as we head into meteorological summer starting June 1.
5/24/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Nice weather through Saturday with above normal temps. Saturday will be the warmest day with some highs near 90. Still chance showers Sunday into Monday. Not a washout by any means but showers will be scattered around. Rainfall totals next 7 days .25 - .50".
5/25/2018 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Two very warm days coming up for today and tomorrow. Highs most places in the 85-90 degree range. Dry today and tomorrow with best chances rain overnight Saturday into mid-day Sunday. Sunday afternoon and Monday look dry most of the time but there is still the chance of scattered showers here and there. Rainfall totals over the next 7 days look to be around .50" most places with locally higher amounts of near 1" in heavier showers Saturday overnight into Sunday. Most of next week other than scattered showers possible Monday looks dry with temps running a few degrees above normal. Temperatures across NJ are averaging about 4.5 degrees above normal for May so far and with temperatures the next 7 days running above normal those departures will only tick up further. A warm month but with ample rainfall.
5/26/2018 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Today will be the nicest day of the Memorial Day weekend. Mostly sunny and very warm, even bordering on hot and humid. Best shower / t-shower chances are tonight into about mid-day tomorrow. Sunday afternoon and Monday look mainly dry but with lingering clouds and cooler temps than today (70's vs. 85-90 today)but not bad, just not great beach days. Rainfall next 72 hours on the order of .50 - 1", some locally higher amounts possible in a few locations where t-showers linger or repeat but .5 - 1" should cover it for most. Balance of work week looks essentially dry with next chance showers - t-showers Thursday night into Friday.
5/27/2018 8:00 AM 0.21 M M M M Locally excessive rainfall totals fell over night in a west to east band across central NJ, upwards of 4.5" were reported within a larger swath of 1.5 to 2.5". North and south of that band amounts were much lighter, generally .25" to .75". Much cooler today compared to the upper 80's and lower 90's of yesterday. Lots of clouds and leftover showers will make for a dreary day.
5/28/2018 8:00 AM 0.02 M M M M Clouds should break to allow some sun by afternoon, especially NNJ & CNJ. Clouds will linger longest over the south. Next chance rainfall will be late this coming weekend and into early next week. Will have to keep an eye to see how or if remnant mid and upper level moisture from Subtropical storm Alberto factors in. Chance for a soaking rain late next weekend/early next week depending on how things develop.
5/29/2018 8:00 AM 0.01 M M M M Very warm and humid day upcoming. Next shot at decent rains Friday night into part of the weekend. PW's look to surge into the 1.5 to 2" range over the weekend so some locally heavy totals are possible. Details on timing and location of heaviest rains not yet clear.
5/30/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Best chances for rainfall over the next 5 days will be Friday night into Saturday. On average .5 - 1" is expected. Some locally heavier rainfall is certainly possible and would not be surprised to see some local amounts of 2"+. At this point seems like best chances for heaviest totals would be over southern and maybe central NJ. Shower chances will be on the increase starting tomorrow.
5/31/2018 6:00 AM T M M M M May rainfall: 4.30". Precipitation Y.T.D.: 24.66" Had measurable rainfall on 17 days during the month of May. None heavy, largest 24 hour total was .79". Additional rains upcoming in the days ahead. Complex weather pattern next several days. Surge of mid and high level moisture with PW's topping out at near or just a bit over 2", stalled front over the area with several upper air disturbances affecting the state could lead to locally heavy rainfall at times over the next 2-4 days. Most locations should see 1-2" as we head through today into early next week. Local amounts could top 3 or 4" where showers and t-storms repeat or train. Flash Flood Watches could be posted as we head toward the weekend. Best chances for higher totals seem to favor southern and maybe central parts of NJ.
6/1/2018 8:00 AM 0.12 M M M M May temperatures across NJ were quite warm, on average across the state about 4.5 degrees above normal. Rainfall next 2-3 days could be locally heavy. In general an average of about 1" is expected but local amounts could approach 2-3" in heavier downpours. Air mass is quite soupy with PW's near or a bit above 2" so any t-showers could produce locally heavy downpours. Should dry out as we head through next week with temperatures at least for early and mid week running below normal.
6/2/2018 8:00 AM 0.31 M M M M The .31" came from brief t-shower downpour last night about 10:20, lasted for about 7 min. Additional showers and t-showers today and this evening could drop some locally heavy downpours. PW's still remain close to 2" but will start to fall back this evening and especially overnight so air mass will feel much more comfortable by tomorrow, temps will be cooler by tomorrow as well. Additional rain likely for a time Monday before the rest of the week turns more pleasant with low humidity and temperatures near or even a bit below normal for a few days. Rainfall totals through Monday generally .50" but local amounts of 2-3", especially SNJ are possible. Tomorrow looks essentially dry so the rainfall totals would be from later today and Monday.
6/3/2018 8:00 AM 0.20 M M M M Cool and breezy. Temperatures currently (11am) around 60 with DP's in the low 50's. Rainfall ob was taken at 8am, just late posting. Additional rains .50 to 1.0" expected later tonight into Monday. Then fair and pleasant for rest of the work week. Pleasant temps and humidity. Will warm again by next weekend. Even so no 90+ heat is on the horizon.
6/4/2018 8:00 AM 0.61 M M M M The rest of the work week looks mainly dry for most, some showers are possible at times for some locations but totals through Friday should be <.25". Next chance more widespread rainfall looks like later in the upcoming weekend or early next week. June continues the trend of May with ample rainfall.
6/5/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Scattered showers/t-showers will pop up locally today. Best chances over NNJ. They will not be widespread and rainfall totals will be generally under .25". Next chances more widespread and significant rainfall Saturday night into Sunday maybe .5 - 1" with that event across NJ. In the meantime pleasant temperatures next 7-10 days. No sign of any 90+ readings through at least 6/15.
6/6/2018 6:00 AM T M M M M Trace in fast moving shower early yesterday afternoon. Next chance widespread rainfall later Saturday into Sunday. Totals .5" - 1" possible across NJ. Pleasant temperatures continue with no sign on 90+ next 7 to maybe 10 days.
6/7/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Pleasant June weather continues. Still no 90+ readings on the horizon. Next rainfall event looks on track for mainly Saturday evening into early Sunday. Totals of .5" to 1" with the best chances for the higher end numbers over SNJ.
6/8/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Rain chances for this weekend all but eliminated for most of NJ. Southern NJ could pickup .25" - .50" amounts later tomorrow into early Sunday but for CNJ/NNJ amounts will be little or nothing. Looking into next week it looks mainly dry, next chances at widespread shower activity look to be next Friday or into next weekend. Still no 90+ readings on the horizon.
6/9/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M A dry 7 day period upcoming for most of NJ. Far southern NJ could see some .50 - .75" amounts over the next 2-3 days. Rest of the state looks essentially rain free for next 7 days. Lawns and gardens will need sprinkling before the week is over. Still no widespread 90+ readings through at least next weekend.
6/10/2018 7:00 AM T M M M M Ongoing light sprinkle / shower at obs time. Rainfall totals next 24 hours will range from .25" or less NNJ. Around .25 - locally .50" CNJ and upwards of 1" over far SNJ. Flash Flood Watch posted for SNJ where isolated but locally heavy downpours could drop up to 2" rain in a rather short period of time. Remainder of the week after today should feature little rainfall statewide with amounts of .25" of less. Temperatures close to or a bit above normal for the coming week. Still no widespread 90+ readings on the horizon.
6/11/2018 8:00 AM 0.31 M M M M Some impressive rainfall amounts last 24 hours mostly over Mercer, Burlington and Ocean counties. Amounts in excess of 4" were reported with a widespread area of 1 to 3". Amounts fell off as you headed into NNJ but most of SNJ saw in excess of 1". Rest of the week looks dry with little of no rainfall through the coming weekend. Temperatures look to average near or a bit above normal next 7-10 days. No widespread 90+ readings expected.
6/12/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Fair and pleasant weather right through the weekend. Only bump in the road will be shower / t-shower chances for some later tomorrow. Fair weather returns for Thursday and beyond. Rainfall next 7 days for most will be non existent, except where it showers tomorrow. Temperatures look pleasant into the weekend near to a bit above normal on average. May heat up some by early next week but that should not last but a few days, could be a widespread 90+ event by Monday.
6/13/2018 5:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Showers around today into this evening. Nothing prolonged or heavy in any one location. Some t-showers this evening into the early overnight could produce a local heavier downpour. Fair weather returns tomorrow and through the weekend with a warming trend especially by Sunday and into early next week. Highs will approach 90 some places by Sunday and by Monday of next week it looks hot and steamy with some highs of 90-95 with high humidity. Heat will be short lived as much more pleasant weather returns for mid and late next week. Rainfall next 7 days looks to be on the order of .25" to locally .50". Except for the showers today and the heat on Monday a nice stretch of June weather is upcoming.
6/14/2018 8:00 AM 0.13 M M M M Shower overnight dropped the .13". Going forward rainfall next 7 days looks light. Less than <.25" expected. Very hot and oppressive day on Monday. Temperatures will rise into the upper 80's for most on Sunday, some local 90 readings possible. Monday temperatures and humidity will surge. Highs for most in the middle 90's with a few spots in the upper 90's. Heat index values of 105 to near 110 in urban centers are possible. More seasonable and refreshing air mass will return by mid week. Next few days will be very pleasant before temps start to ramp up on Sunday.
6/15/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Pleasant weather today and tomorrow will give way to heat and humidity early next week. Temperatures will start to warm on Sunday with highs generally 85 to around 90 for most. Monday the heat and humidity will make it feel oppressive. Highs Monday mid to upper 90's with high humidity will make for heat index values of 100-105 for most locations but values of 110 are possible in urban areas. Heat will start to ease on Tuesday, still hot though and then more seasonable and pleasant weather for mid to late next week. Rainfall next 7 days looks scant with most places seeing .25" or less.
6/16/2018 6:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Pleasant weather today with temperatures and humidity starting to increase Sunday and into early next week. Monday still looks like the hottest of the days with mid 90's for most locations except near 90 NWNJ. Heat index values of 100-105 Monday for most of NJ except a bit lower NW. Tuesday will still be hot and muggy but not as bad as Monday. Pleasant and more seasonable weather looks to arrive across NJ by Wednesday. Rainfall next 7 days looks light with any heavier amounts confined to locally heavier t-showers later Tuesday and Tuesday night. Most places will see only .25" amounts over the next 7 days.
6/17/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Rainfall next 7 days looks minimal with most places seeing .25" or less. Some spots that get under a heavier t-storm later Tuesday or Tuesday night will do better but in general looks like a rather dry 7 day run. Temperatures and humidity peak tomorrow with mid 90's most spots except far NW NJ around 90. Heat index values 100-105, even slightly higher in the usual urban hot spots. Tuesday temperatures come down several degrees but humidity goes up some so it will still feel quite oppressive. More seasonable weather arrives for mid and late week.
6/18/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Hot with oppressive humidity developing by late morning / early afternoon today. Heat index readings 100 to locally 105 in hotter urban areas. Temperatures around or just over 90 far NW to mid 90's most other parts of NJ except right along the immediate beaches where sea breezes develop. Scattered t-storms around late afternoon NW and then scattered showers over rest of NJ overnight as front presses through from NW. Tuesday will feature lower temperatures and lower humidity for most of NJ except still muggy far south. Additional showers possible later Wednesday / Wednesday night. Rainfall totals for most through Friday .25" - .50". Some places may see little or nothing depending on t-shower placement. Temperatures will fall closer to more seasonable levels for rest of the week starting tomorrow and especially Wednesday and beyond.
6/19/2018 7:00 AM 0.22 M M M M Line of storms affected mostly NNJ and CNJ last evening into the overnight hours. Most amounts were .25" - .50" but parts of Mercer, Hunterdon, Somerset and Middlesex counties had local amounts upwards of 1" - 1.5". Rest of CNJ and SNJ had just Trace to <.25" amounts. Hot and humid day yesterday (low to mid 90's) will give way to a very warm day today with gradually lowering humidity. More seasonable weather for rest of the week. Next chance rainfall (.25" - .50") will be later Wednesday into Wednesday night. Again, some places will do a little better and some places will get less.
6/20/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Some rainfall on tap later this evening and into Thursday morning. Looks like a .50" on average with some places doing better and some places getting less. Temperatures look to run pretty close to seasonable for at least the next 5-7 days.
6/21/2018 8:00 AM 0.15 M M M M Showers overnight dropped .15". Southeast Ocean county did best with some 1+ amounts but bulk of the state was generally around .25 - .50", just enough to moisten the ground. Rainfall next 72 hours looks to average about .50" across the state with some locations doing better and some locations getting less. Unfortunately that means some rain for Saturday, not a washout but showers around. Temperatures next 7-10 days fairly close to normal, maybe a bit below on average. No indication of a stretch of 90+ coming in the next week at least.
6/22/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Rainfall next 36 hours or so looks to average in the .25"-.50" range across NJ. Some places likely to do better with totals of 1"+. Temperatures next 3-5 days near normal but signal for string of 90+ weather starting next week and into week of July 4th is growing. Large ridge of high pressure seems to want to set up shop over the Ohio Valley and extend eastward into the western Atlantic. Details on duration or intensity of heat yet to be worked out but growing signal is there for an extended period of hot weather as we approach the July 4th. holiday.
6/23/2018 8:00 AM T M M M M Just a "T" from a sprinkle last evening. Additional showers will be around later this afternoon and this evening. Between now and then not much and most of the late morning and afternoon hours will be rain free for most. Some showers/-storms could feature heavy downpours. Best chances for locally severe weather would be from I195 south, that area will also have the best chances for heavier rains. Some places will see "zero" amounts while some places mostly (CNJ/SNJ) could see localized 2" amounts. Additional more scattered t-showers tomorrow afternoon with cold frontal passage late in the afternoon. Heat wave (3+ days of 90+) likely to develop starting Friday into early the following week. Temperatures close to seasonable between now and then.
6/24/2018 8:00 AM 0.02 0.0 M M M Rainfall across the entire state last 24 hours was major bust. Amounts statewide ranged from a trace to a few tenths. Could be some scattered t-showers later today with a cold frontal passage but nothing widespread but where it does shower could be local brief heavier downpour. Next chance some rainfall would be on Thursday. Hopefully something of substance before we head into the heat wave pattern starting Friday into the 4th of July holiday. Looks like run of low to mid 90's for several days at least. Humidity levels look moderate at this time so heat index numbers should stay somewhat in check, even so heat advisory criteria should be reached by next weekend.
6/25/2018 8:00 AM 0.11 M M M M Received .11" in quick passing t-shower last evening. Next chance some rainfall Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Mostly .25"-.50" amounts with some places getting locally more and some places getting nothing. Starting Friday heat wave begins and it looks like 5+ days of 90+ for many locations. Only spots that could escape with a broken up long run of 90+ is FAR NWNJ and coastal sections where local sea breezes develop. Heat advisories likely by weekend.
6/26/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Next rainfall chances Wednesday night into Thursday. Looks like .25" - .50" amounts will be the average across NJ. Heat begins Friday and holds into 4th of July holiday. Low to mid 90's expected especially in the urban areas. Heat advisories likely by the weekend. Classic heat pattern setting up from Mid-West, Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic and New England.
6/27/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Rainfall amounts next 24 hours look to range generally in the .25" - .75" range with the higher amounts most likely over the northern half of the state. There will be some locally heavier downpours so some locations could see even higher totals. Next chance rainfall after this event looks to be early next week. In the meantime a run of several days of 90+ heat with moderate levels of humidity upcoming. No record highs expected but hot weather with uncomfortable levels of humidity, especially over the weekend. Temperatures and humidity likely to pull back some by July 4th.
6/28/2018 8:00 AM 0.85 M M M M Decent soaking at my location with .85". As expected Northern half of NJ did much better than southern half of the state as far as totals. Next up the heat and humidity. Sunday looks like the hottest day with mid 90's looking widespread. Some upper 90's possible in the urban areas. Next chance showers/t-showers next Tuesday. Hopefully a bit of a break in heat and humidity on the 4th but heat and humidity could return for later next week. Some uncertainty in that but potential exists for an overall extended hot/humid period starting tomorrow and lasting well into next week/weekend.
6/29/2018 8:00 AM 0.01 M M M M Heat wave starts today. Long duration run of daily maxes of 90+. Sunday looks to be hottest of the bunch with mid to upper 90's widespread across NJ. Some local readings of 100 not of of the question in the usual hot spots. DP's in the low 70's Sunday will make for a steamy day. Heat advisories will be hoisted especially for Sunday. Next chance isolated showers maybe next Tuesday or Wednesday but very isolated. Hot dry period coming up starting today into late next week or the weekend.
6/30/2018 6:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M June rainfall 3.04" and Y.T.D. melted precipitation 27.70". Heat advisories and excessive heat warnings are posted across NJ. Hot today and nasty hot tomorrow. Still hot into next week but tomorrow looks like the worst of it. Run of 90+ days for most will continue into late next week. Heat index values tomorrow of 100-105 with local spots, in larger urban areas possibly peaking out near 108. Overnight Sunday into Monday will offer little relief with overnight lows spending most of the night not lower than 80. Temperatures and humidity will tick down a few notches by Tuesday and beyond but it will still be hot. Rainfall next 5-7 days looks like .25" or less for most locations. Keep cool....heat tomorrow will be dangerous and Monday will be almost as bad.
7/1/2018 6:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Hottest day of the heat wave coming up today. Widespread high temperatures of 95 to a few local 100 degree readings across the state. Heat index values of 105 to locally up to 110 in a few spots. Tomorrow won't be much different. Temps will be down a few notches but humidity will tick up a bit so heat index values tomorrow will still be in the 100-105 range. High temperatures at or above 90 for the upcoming week. Next chance widespread showers / t-showers later Friday into Saturday with a cold front that will knock temperatures back into the 80's by next weekend. Some local heavy rain possible with this feature. Until then HOT and DRY. Today and tomorrow will be the worst of it so use caution.
7/2/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Hot week upcoming but heat will break by the weekend and perhaps with some decent rains later Friday into Saturday. Core of the heat will push back into the plains and Mid-West next week leaving the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic in a more seasonable pattern. Until then...hot and rather dry until the weekend.
7/3/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Still hot and steamy today but most locations should fall just shy of 90 tomorrow to "officially" end the heat wave for most. Still a steamy and muggy 4th of July with highs in the upper 80's to around 90. Still looking like good chance for some showers / t-storms later Friday into Saturday. Some spots could get drenched...others not so lucky. Regardless much more pleasant air mass for the weekend and into early next week. Seasonable temps and MUCH lower humidity.
7/4/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M No rainfall here yesterday but some spots got drenched by local and slow moving t-storms. Same likely to happen today in local spots, likely NW of spots that got it yesterday. Dying frontal zone is stuck under retrograding ridge. PW's AOA 2" so local drenchings possible. Still muggy and oppressive today with high humidity. Highs today mostly in the mid to upper 80's for most spots. Widespread t-storms later on Friday , Friday night as push of cooler and drier air moves into this steamy air mass. High PW's remain so local drenchings likely. Cooler, drier and more refreshing air mass by the weekend and into early next week.
7/5/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M No rainfall yesterday at this location. Sultry air mass remains in place for today and tomorrow. PW's running AOA 2"next 36 hours or so. Potential exists for drenching downpours for some tomorrow as cold front pushes through the area. Some severe weather is also possible. Much more pleasant air mass follows for the weekend and into early next week. Temperatures will go above normal again by next Tuesday but no return to the hot steamy weather we are coming out of is in sight for the next week or so at least. Two more days of this nasty humidity then we get some relief.
7/6/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M No rain here yet. Parts of CNJ have already been drenched this morning. As of now I'm not hopeful for my location getting much. We'll see what next few hours can produce. Would like to get something, it is getting dry and next chance at anything decent would be a week away. Regardless of rainfall much more pleasant air mass tomorrow into early next week. No sign of a return to heat wave conditions for at least the next week.
7/7/2018 7:00 AM 0.14 M M M M Had .14" in brief heavier morning shower yesterday. That was all this station could muster. Dry period upcoming with little or no precipitation expected for the coming 7 days. A FEW local showers possible with frontal passage around Tuesday but most places will see nothing. With sunny skies, high July sun angle and relatively low humidity there will be much evapotranspiration going on during the coming week and lawns and gardens that missed out on the heavier rains over the last week are going to start drying rather quickly. Expanding dry / drought conditions developing across New England and NYS as per last two Drought Monitor releases could start spreading south into parts of NJ over the next week or two. Refreshing air mass has settled in overnight and temperatures today and tomorrow will be very pleasant with low humidity for early July. Many low temperatures in the low/mid 50's this morning across NJ per NJWXNET.
7/8/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M DRY! Looks dry for the coming week. Scattered showers at some point later Tuesday or Tuesday night for a few spots but most will get nothing. Temperatures will spike to near or just above 90 tomorrow and especially Tuesday before falling back to seasonable for the rest of the week.
7/9/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M DRY! Little or no rainfall expected for most NJ locations next 7-10 days. Chance few isolated showers for some later tomorrow / tomorrow night with frontal passage but most will see nothing. No prolonged periods of 90+ weather expected over next 7-10 days. Rather pleasant for mid July but lack of rainfall for farmers and local gardens means irrigation needs will increase.
7/10/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Just the slightest chance of an isolated shower in a few spots this evening with frontal passage. Most spots will see nothing. Temperature spike to near or just above 90 today will fall back to seasonable levels for rest of the week. Will remain DRY with next chance of any kind of rainfall a week away. Would expect to see an area of "abnormally dry" show up over parts of NJ in the next 2 weeks on the Drought Monitor. We'll see but for the next week at least rainfall will be scarce.
7/11/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M No rain here yesterday. What showers there were fell apart before reaching my area. Next chance widespread and possibly heavier rainfall centered around Wednesday next week. Decent signal from GFS/EURO Ensemble data from overnight runs. Nice spike in PW's to at or just above 2". Some spots could see decent downpours. Meantime between now and next Wednesday most places will see very little or no rainfall, so a week to go before next chances of something decent. Temperatures will also spike into the low 90's again by early next week for a few days. Getting dry and lawns starting to crisp if not watered.
7/12/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Some light rain over Cape May and Atlantic County this morning and a t-shower left some light amounts over Bergen County as well. Nothing that will help the increasingly dry pattern. Drought Monitor released this morning shows abnormally dry and moderate drought conditions did expand over New England and western New York. The abnormally dry conditions now cover RI and most of CT. We'll see if the abnormally dry conditions extend south over the next week or two into NJ. Still chance for some moderate rainfall later Wednesday and Thursday of next week. Until then....essentially dry with temps running a bit above normal.
7/13/2018 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Looking for rain....still good signal for some locally heavy downpours centered next Tuesday night into Wednesday. Hopefully that trend holds. Could see some local 1-2" amounts if all goes well. In the meantime essentially dry for most although some will see isolated showers at times over the weekend. It will become increasingly hot and humid over the weekend into early next week before cold front gets NJ back to seasonable for mid and late week. Some spots likely to see 3 or 4 days of near or just over 90 starting tomorrow....mostly over interior CNJ/SNJ.
7/14/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Still dry but still looking at chances for decent slug of rainfall for many locations later Tuesday, Tuesday night into very early Wednesday. PW looks to surge to 2 - 2.3" later Tuesday and Tuesday night. Drenching local downpours and possibly some severe weather before all is said and done. This is best chance for NJ to receive some significant widespread rainfall in what has become a rather dry stretch. Lawns in my area are quite crisp unless they are being irrigated. Before we get to Tuesday rainfall there are likely to be some showers / t-storms this evening and tonight that could drop some locally heavier totals. Best chance is over northern 1/3 of NJ. Drier more pleasant weather returns Wednesday and for the balance of next week. Until then rather hot and becoming very humid with highs in the upper 80's and low 90's. Heat index readings by Monday and Tuesday in the mid to upper 90's. Some ensemble support for additional rainfall in the 10-15 day period. In the meantime hoping for some decent rainfall Tuesday into Wednesday.
7/15/2018 8:00 AM 0.42 M M M M Finally some rain! T-showers overnight and just ended as of 8am dropped .42". Some amounts of 1.5"+ fell over the northern 1/4 of the state. Central NJ may get some activity over the net few hours as storms from eastern PA move E.S.E. Additional decent rains 1 - 2" locally still look on target for later Tuesday and Tuesday night. Ensemble data also suggesting a possible wetter than normal last 10 days of July. Rather hot and steamy today through Tuesday then more pleasant air mass for Wednesday and beyond. In the meantime thankful for the overnight rains, has been a very dry last 16 days.
7/16/2018 5:00 AM 0.06 M M M M The .06" was from and additional shower yesterday morning. Steam heat today and tomorrow with more pleasant mid July weather for mid and late week. Local showers / t-showers NNJ/CNJ today and then more widespread rainfall tomorrow. Any showers today could drop some locally heavier rainfall. Cold front pressing through tomorrow can produce some severe weather and locally very heavy rainfall. PW's peak just above 2" tomorrow so local torrential downpours are possible. Still ensemble support for a wet last 10 days of July.
7/17/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Waiting on the rain this afternoon into the evening. Some places will get drenched and some places will get shafted, such is the way it is in this type of frontal passage situation. Atmosphere is loaded with moisture so there is high probability of localized flash flooding. Local totals could top 2-3" in spots and this would fall in a very short period of time. Some isolated severe weather today is also possible. More pleasant weather for tomorrow into Saturday. Still strong ensemble support for a potentially very wet last 10 days of July.
7/18/2018 8:00 AM 0.99 M M M M Moderate to heavy rain fell across the entire state yesterday and it was much needed. Looking ahead ensemble data showing strong signal for additional rains next 7 days. Beyond that the chances for above normal rainfall exist as we head toward the final week of July. Daytime maxima of 90+ may be hard to come by for the balance of the month. Looking forward to some additional needed rains later this weekend and into early next week.
7/19/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Potentially very wet period upcoming to end July. Details, timing and amounts to be worked out but not out of the question to see totals over parts of NJ next 10 days of 3-6", maybe locally higher. Temperatures will not be hot but with PW running aoa 2" starting later Sunday into next Thursday it will feel soupy and steamy. Available atmospheric moisture will be more than ample and just waiting for "triggers" to unload some locally excessive rainfall. We'll see how it all ends up but the target period would be this Saturday through next Friday. Get your rain gauges ready!
7/20/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Period of very wet weather upcoming. Starting Saturday and persisting into mid and late next week. Seems northern 1/3 of NJ is being targeted for absolute max totals but entire state could see heavy to excessive rainfall next 5-10 day period. Stage is being set for local flash flooding as well as possible river flooding by the time all is said and done. Would not be surprised to see totals of 6" with locally higher amounts between Saturday and the end of July. First wave of rain comes Saturday afternoon and overnight as coastal low moves up and over NJ....will include heavy rain, wind gusts to gale force for some and rough seas / surf along NJ coast. Additional heavy rains for later Sunday and into early next week. Have your rain gauges ready!
7/21/2018 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Round one of the rain will be moving into SNJ over the next few hours and then will spread slowly north throughout the day. Leading edge of rainfall will not reach far NW NJ until evening. Rainfall totals next 24 hours look to be in the 1-3" range. Coastal low pressure will move north from coastal NC into upstate NY over the next 24 hours. Winds will likely gust to near gale force for a time this evening into the overnight especially along coastal locations. Winds will be gusty even over inland NJ. Additional heavy rains likely over the next 5-6 days. Atmosphere will be moisture laden so rainfall could be locally excessive. Totals by the time all is said and done could be near 6" by this time next week. Maybe locally higher depending on how things unfold. Wet period upcoming. Temperatures will likely not reach 90 for rest of the month but with very high humidity levels it will feel like the deep tropics for much of the next week.
7/22/2018 8:00 AM 1.88 M M M M Just some light mist and drizzle at obs time. Looks like most of the state accumulated between 1 to 1.5" of rain with some local 2"+ amounts. Additional rains likely over the next 7 days could drop another 2 to locally 4". Temperatures will be below 90 degrees this coming week but humidity will be very high with deep southerly flow. Will feel very tropical. Best chances at widespread heavier rain will be later Tuesday, Tuesday night and Wednesday. Remaining days look to see just pop up showers / storms but any rainfall could be locally heavy.
7/23/2018 8:00 AM 1.79 M M M M Additional moderate to heavy rainfall over last 24 hours. Most of it falling in the hours after mid-night and before daybreak. Just light rain at obs time but additional heavy showers to my S.S.E. per radar seem poised to affect Morris/Sussex counties over next few hours. Total two day rainfall = 3.67". Additional rainfall between now and Friday across NJ could drop 1-3" with local amounts of 4-6" possible under any training showers & t-storms. Those heavier amounts will be localized but not out of the question. It seems eastern 1/4 of Pennsylvania will be the focus of the absolute max and widespread excessive totals. A cold frontal passage should finally dry things out by later Friday and into the weekend.
7/24/2018 8:00 AM 0.38 M M M M Most of the rainfall this 24 hour period fell during the early morning hours this morning. Three day total = 4.05". Additional rains likely later today/tonight and especially tomorrow into Thursday. Another 1-3" rain expected but isolated spots could receive 3-5" over the next 48-60 hours where training occurs. Steamy and moisture laden atmosphere lingers into later Thursday then starts to push east Thursday night through Saturday. In the meantime high PW (2 - 2.5") air mass will supply the fuel for some additional drenching rains. Flash Flood watches and/or warnings likely over parts of the state for tomorrow into Thursday.
7/25/2018 8:00 AM 0.39 M M M M Rainfall last 24 hours mostly from post mid-night hour into early this morning. There were some very short bursts of rainfall yesterday morning. Four day total = 4.44". Additional rainfall next 24-36 hours looks to drop additional amounts of 1 to locally 3". Looking ahead EURO Ensembles look to continue a wetter than normal pattern into first week of August. There will be some drying in between but in general a trof axis in the means remains west of NJ with rather deep southerly flow up along eastern seaboard. Chances for periods of heavier rain over the next 10 days do exist. Will remain rather humid but chances of 90+ days look low.
7/26/2018 8:00 AM 0.97 M M M M Rainfall last 24 hours came in heavy downpours from late afternoon off and on into the evening. In general rainfall across NJ underperformed yesterday. Five day total = 5.41". Rainfall next several days will be widely scattered but still with some local heavier downpours possible. Most places won't see all that much through the weekend. Wetter pattern looks to return early to mid next week. Euro & GFS ensembles are fairly wet next 7-14 days. While no significant period of 90+ heat is looming with trof axis to west of NJ in the means rather deep southerly flow will keep it on the humid side. PW's could again reach or exceed 2" by mid next week.
7/27/2018 7:30 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M No rain last 24 hours! Chance showers and a few strong t-storms across NJ later today into this evening. Weekend looks dry. Wetter pattern to return by mid and late next week, some locally heavy rainfall possible. A general very warm and muggy pattern for next week.
7/28/2018 8:00 AM 0.52 M M M M Rainfall last 24 hours came in T-shower last evening. Rainfall over last 6 days = 5.93". Some locations had excessive totals yesterday mostly over northern Middlesex county. Rainfall next 4 days looks minimal, most places will see nothing. A wetter pattern looks to return mid and late next week. PW's could once again top out near 2" and some locally heavy rainfall is possible, but not to the extreme of the last 7 days. Will be very warm and humid pattern but no widespread 90+ heat is expected. Most places not likely to reach 90 over the next week to 10 days but it will be uncomfortably humid most of that time period.
7/29/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Pleasant day with seasonable temps and much lower humidity. Unsettled pattern returns from Monday night through much of the coming week. Deep southerly flow will once again become established and PW's will rise to around 2 to 2.25" by mid-week. Upper air impulses and a weakening and slow moving frontal system moving across NJ could lead to some locally heavy rains. Timing and location to be determined but some locally heavy rains are possible during the coming week. Temperatures mostly 80's by day and upper 60's to mid 70's overnight. No 90+ heat but some steamy and muggy conditions once again mid and late week.
7/30/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Humidity and rainfall chances will be on the increase as we head through this week. Best chances for heavier rainfall totals will be later Tuesday into Thursday. Threat for locally heavy totals with flooding possible as PW once again goes to near or just over 2" by mid and late week. No widespread or persistent 90+ readings and most of NJ will be in the m/u 80's daytime and upper 60's to mid 70's overnight. Will be quite steamy and oppressive by mid and late week. Above normal rainfall in general might even persist into next week.
7/31/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Rainfall chances increase late this afternoon and especially into the overnight and on into Wednesday. Some locally heavy downpours likely. PW near or just over 2" for tomorrow into Thursday will support the threat of locally heavy rainfall totals. Some local flooding possible. Rainfall totals between tonight and Sunday could reach or exceed 3" in spots. It will be very warm and steamy right into the weekend. Temperatures mostly in the 80's by day and upper 60's to mid 70's at night. A string of 90+ days is possible as we head into early or mid next week.
8/1/2018 8:00 AM 0.12 M M M M Light to moderate shower ongoing at observation time. Rainfall July = 7.54" - Precipitation Y.T.D. = 35.24". Some locally heavy rainfall upcoming over next few days. Local 2-4" amounts possible. Very moist atmosphere with PW's near or just above 2" today and Saturday. Temperatures mostly in the m/u 80's daytime and upper 60's to mid 70's overnight. A steamy, very warm and muggy period right into next week. Still chance for string of 90+ mid next week for some parts of NJ. GFS hot bias continues out of control and Euro running on the cool side of late, especially with daytime highs.
8/2/2018 8:00 AM 0.22 M M M M Upper ridge offshore has fought hard to keep the heaviest rainfall west of the PA/NJ border so far this week. That should change next 2-3 days and locally heavy rainfall still remains possible over parts of NJ. Local amounts of 2-4" possible for some. Somewhat drier pattern as we head into Sunday and next week. Upper ridging will persist over and offshore of the Northeast U.S. so temperatures will run near or just above normal right into next weekend. No widespread heat wave but some days of 90+ likely for some. Meanwhile the Atlantic tropics look to be shut down next 7-10 days. We'll see what happens as we get into the peak of the season starting around 8/15 but overall conditions do not look favorable for much activity for the month of August at least.
8/3/2018 8:00 AM 0.38 M M M M Rainfall last 24 hours from BRIEF heavy shower late yesterday afternoon and another quickly passing t-shower last night. Missed out on heavier at my location yesterday afternoon. Total rainfall so far this week = 0.72". Still chances for locally heavy rains later today into tonight. Some locations could see 2-3". Could still be some scattered showers around tomorrow afternoon before we break out of the rainy pattern Sunday into early next week. Humidity will also back off starting Sunday. It will still remain hot and on the humid side for much of next week with highs in the upper 80's for most but some locations could string together 2-4 90+ days. Nothing resembling a pleasant Canadian air mass in the coming 7-10 day period.
8/4/2018 7:55 AM 1.89 M M M M Still light to moderate rain ongoing at obs time but heaviest rain has past my location. Total rainfall last 4 days = 2.61". That is one of the lower totals over my area of NJ. Some locations over Sussex, Morris, Hunterdon and Warren county had twice that much and then some. Upcoming week will be much drier than recent weeks. Rainfall for most places across NJ will be .50" or less after the rainfall of today exits. Temperatures will be very warm to hot with highs for the coming week in the upper 80's to low 90's with moderate levels of humidity. Dog days of August.
8/5/2018 8:00 AM 0.28 M M M M Rainfall last 24 hours leftover from ongoing light to moderate showers at obs time yesterday. Remainder of yesterday cleared out nicely although very warm and humid. Upcoming week of weather looks typical for early August. Hot and humid with temperatures in the upper 80's to low 90's with moderate levels of humidity. Today and tomorrow should be the worst of the heat/humidity combo. Rainfall coming 7 days looks light (.25 or less for most locations) and will give the ground a chance to dry out.
8/6/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Heat Advisories in effect until this evening for all but southern 1/4 of NJ. Temperatures in the low to some mid 90's and DP's of 70+ will make for some heat index readings in the 100-105 range. All the moisture in the ground from recent rains is aiding the process. Today looks like the most oppressive but tomorrow and Wednesday will still be hot and humid. Some drier more seasonable weather by later in the week. Next chance for some widespread and heavier showers not unitl later in the weekend or early next week. Showers later tomorrow and Wednesday will be more scattered but could still drop locally heavy downpours. Tropics remain quiet.
8/7/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Another sultry and oppressive day on tap for today. Scattered showers / t-storms developing across NJ later afternoon or evening. Some local heavier downpours possible. Overall pattern looks unsettled into the weekend or early next week with some additional locally heavier rainfall totals later in the weekend.
8/8/2018 8:00 AM 0.81 M M M M Picked up .81" from gusty T-Storm last evening between 2130 - 2215Z.
8/9/2018 8:00 AM 0.01 M M M M Missed out on the heavier showers / t-showers completely yesterday afternoon and nighttime hours. Nice lightning show early this morning around 0400 - 0430Z as storm passed just to my south. More rain chances in the days ahead.
8/10/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Another several day period upcoming with locally heavy to possibly excessive rainfall totals. Would not be surprised to see some 5 day totals (period ending Wednesday morning) of 3-5" in some spots. Location will depend on several factors not the least of which will be where storms train and repeat. PW's will once again be at or around 2" for the next several days so any rounds of showers / t-storms could drop some heavy totals in a short period of time. Storms could also be slow movers adding to the locally heavy rainfall threat. Suspect Flood Watches and or Warnings will be issued for some spots over the next several days.
8/11/2018 8:00 AM 0.32 M M M M Light raining ongoing at obs time. Additional rains expected daily right through Tuesday. Mid to late next week looks dry but still very warm, even hot and still on the rather humid side.
8/12/2018 8:00 AM 0.76 M M M M Missed out on the heaviest rains at my location. Some 2-3"+ amounts were observed over parts of NNJ last 24 hours. Rainfall next 48-60 hours will not be as widespread as it was yesterday but moist atmosphere remains in place and any showers / t-stoms that do develop next few days could produce additional locally very heavy rains. Additional localized rains of 1-3" over next 48 - 60 hours are possible. Location will depend on where storms develop and track. Looks dry on Wednesday but shower chances could again increase as we head through Friday into next weekend.
8/13/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M No rainfall last 24 hours. Just a few sprinkles at obs time. Potential for locally heavy rainfall over NJ today. Flash Flood Watches and / or Flash Flood Warnings are posted for most of the state except for far southern 1/4. Today looks like best chance for locally heavy to perhaps excessive rainfall totals. Tomorrow could also see some isolated heavier downpours but not as widespread as today. Wednesday and Thursday look rain free but still very warm and very humid. Rain chances return by Friday and into next weekend. Still no sign of a nice low dew point air mass from Canada anytime over the next 7-10 days. We just can't seem to lose the subtropical connection which is keeping it very warm, very humid and at times very wet.
8/14/2018 8:00 AM 0.62 M M M M Rainfall mostly occurred between obs time yesterday and early afternoon. Several rounds of showers moved through. Southeast Monmouth and northeast Ocean counties were in the jackpot zone yesterday with excessive rainfall totals over a very short period of time. Severe flooding in localized areas. Has been a very wet stretch of weather for NJ over the last 3-4 weeks. Large parts of NJ are exceeding 10+" of of rain from mid July until now!
8/15/2018 8:00 AM 0.26 M M M M
8/16/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
8/17/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
8/18/2018 8:00 AM 0.32 M M M M
8/19/2018 8:00 AM 0.77 M M M M
8/20/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
8/21/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
8/22/2018 8:00 AM 1.11 M M M M
8/23/2018 8:00 AM 0.02 M M M M
8/24/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
8/25/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
8/26/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
8/27/2018 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
8/28/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
8/29/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
8/30/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
8/31/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M Rainfall August = 7.89". Precipitation Y.T.D. = 43.13". Rainfall July and August = 15.43".
9/1/2018 7:00 AM 0.22 M M M M Off and on showers late morning into early afternoon.
9/2/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
9/3/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
9/4/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
9/5/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
9/6/2018 7:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
9/7/2018 8:00 AM 0.23 M M M M Rainfall occurred in a t-shower last evening.
9/8/2018 8:00 AM 0.02 M M M M Sprinkles and a light shower over last 24 hours.
9/9/2018 8:00 AM 0.26 M M M M Off & on light rainfall from late yesterday afternoon through ob time this morning.
9/10/2018 8:00 AM 0.83 M M M M Steady light to sometimes moderate rainfall last 24 hours and ongoing light rain at obs time.
9/11/2018 8:00 AM 0.80 M M M M Light to moderate rainfall last 24 hours. Just misting at obs time. Rainfall total last 5 days = 2.14".
9/12/2018 8:00 AM 0.12 M M M M Rainfall last 24 hours was during the overnight hours.
9/13/2018 8:00 AM 0.07 M M M M Light rain, mist and drizzle late evening into the overnight hours.
9/14/2018 8:00 AM 0.03 M M M M Spotty light rain and drizzle at times overnight. Today is the eighth consecutive day with measurable rainfall. Total last 8 days = 2.36".
9/15/2018 7:30 AM 0.06 M M M M Period of very light rain and drizzle yesterday late morning.
9/16/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M No rain last 24 hours! First time that has happened in 11 days.
9/17/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
9/18/2018 8:00 AM 0.69 M M M M Periods of rain, some moderate to heavy from late afternoon yesterday off & on overnight into predawn hours this morning.
9/19/2018 8:00 AM 0.21 M M M M Heavier downpour with frontal passage yesterday afternoon. Clearing skies rapidly followed by late afternoon.
9/20/2018 8:00 AM 0.01 M M M M
9/21/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
9/22/2018 5:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
9/23/2018 8:00 AM T M M M M
9/24/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M
9/25/2018 8:00 AM 0.53 M M M M Periods of heavier rain early this morning. Currently light / moderate rain at observation time.
9/26/2018 8:00 AM 1.39 M M M M Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall yesterday morning into mid afternoon. Two day total = 1.92".
9/27/2018 7:50 AM 0.54 M M M M Rain fell in heavy T-shower last evening roughly 8:00 / 8:30. Three day total = 2.46". Additional rains later tonight into tomorrow. September will end up as another wet month.
9/28/2018 8:00 AM 1.28 M M M M CORRECTED REPORT AS OF 5PM - Data this morning was entered incorrectly. Rainfall from last evening into this morning. Heavy at times. Ongoing light rain at obs time. Four day total = 3.74".
9/29/2018 5:30 AM 0.02 M M M M Leftover light rain and drizzle from yesterday morning.
9/30/2018 8:00 AM 0.00 0.0 M M M September rainfall = 7.31" Y.T.D. Precipitation = 50.44 There were 18 days of measurable rainfall during the month of September. Rainfall for the 3 month period July 1 to September 30 was 22.74". Has been a very rainy stretch.



Start Date End Date & Time Duration in Days Precipitation Snow Depth Snow Depth SWE Notes



Observation Date Observation Time Notes Largest Stone Size Average Stone Size Smallest Stone Size Stone Consistency Duration Minutes Durration Accuracy Damage Timing More Rain than Hail Hail Started Largest Hail Started Angle of Impact Number of Stones on Pad Distance Between Stones on Pad Depth of Stones on Ground